Junk and Investment Grade Credit Spreads Corporate bond yield spreads are often used as a gauge of financial market stress. They can provide insights into the likelihood of an economic downturn, but they are not…
S&P 500 After VIX Spikes >50 (Intraday), First Instance in a Month An intraday VIX spike to 50, often triggered by panic-driven market declines, typically signals a recovery ahead. Historically, the S&P 500 has gained…
Sensitivity of S&P 500 Returns to EPS and P/E Scenario Goldman Sachs projects S&P 500 EPS at $253 for 2025, driven by economic slowdowns, tariff pressures, and inflationary risks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Believing Trump’s tariffs won’t affect Americans is akin to hoping to win the lottery without purchasing a ticket—wishful thinking and highly unlikely! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Different Type of Bear Markets While both cyclical and event-driven bear markets tend to drop by approximately 30%, their durations vary. Cyclical bear markets average two years, whereas event-driven ones last about eight months and…
S&P 500 Valuations Based On Forward Operating EPS The sharp market sell-off has triggered a reversion in S&P 500 valuations, which have dropped from 22.5x to 18.5x forward earnings over the past month. With the…
S&P 500 Bear Markets Should the S&P 500 transition into a bear market, history shows that patient investors are often rewarded in the year and two-year windows after the bear market starts. Image: Carson Investment…
Waterfall Declines in the S&P 500 Contrary to the widespread belief that markets systematically retest lows, analysis of waterfall declines since 1929 reveals that such occurrences are far from consistent. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 and Breadth-Based Stock Market Bottom Signal A signal indicating a potential market bottom, based on extreme breadth levels, has been triggered. Historically, such signals often precede market turning points but are not infallible…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day If the U.S. trade deficit is a national emergency, then the small-cap and Nasdaq bear markets need life support! Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 🐫🐪😎
Consensus Estimated Margin Growth Slower economic growth and rising costs are expected to lead to a decline in S&P 500 margin estimates later this year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research