U.S. Rates and Yield Curve

U.S. Rates and Yield Curve The inverted 10Y-3M yield curve suggests that monetary policy is becoming too tight. Image: Fidelity Investments

Delinquency Rate on All Loans and Recessions

Delinquency Rate on All Loans and Recessions In recent history, the delinquency rate trended upward before the recession began. Today, it is declining and does not suggest a recession is looming.

S&P 500 Management Guidance Ratio

S&P 500 Management Guidance Ratio The S&P 500 earnings guidance ratio has been declining to its lowest level since 2015. Image: BofA US Quantitative Strategy

Risky Assets and Safe Haven Assets

Risky Assets and Safe Haven Assets Risky and safe haven assets usually don’t move in the same direction. Image: Richardson Wealth

Yield Curve Inversions and U.S. Recessions

Yield Curve Inversions and U.S. Recessions The table shows the significant lag between the first inversion date and the onset of the recession in the United States. Image: Jeroen Blokland

% of S&P 500 Members Above 200-Day Moving Average

% of S&P 500 Members Above 200-Day Moving Average This chart shows that breadth across stocks and sectors had been weakening, even though the S&P 500 was climbing to new highs. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…