MSCI World vs. Global Composite PMI

MSCI World vs. Global Composite PMI Global stock markets are very optimistic, as soft and hard indicators suggest that the global slowdown may have bottomed out. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Equity Indices Futures

U.S. Equity Indices Futures The U.S. stock market is on fire. Investors have grown extremely bullish. Image: BCA Research

Gold and Emerging Market Currency Index

Gold and Emerging Market Currency Index Historically, a weak U.S. dollar tends to be good for gold and emerging markets. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet: Assets and Liabilities

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet: Assets and Liabilities This chart shows the total assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve. According to the NY Fed, the Fed’s balance sheet could be between $3.8 trillion and $4.7…

Valuation – S&P 500 EV/EBITDA

Valuation – S&P 500 EV/EBITDA The EV/EBITDA of the S&P 500 suggests that stocks are as expensive as they were during the Internet bubble. Image: Tomasz Hońdo

U.S. Equities and Global Equities ex-U.S.

U.S. Equities and Global Equities ex-U.S. This chart suggests that higher yields could cause great rotation from bonds to stocks, US equities to non-US equities, growth to value, large caps to small caps, tech stocks…

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth Assuming no further escalation, the trade war drag on real GDP growth is expected to gradually fade over the year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…