Fed Balance Sheet vs. S&P 500

Fed Balance Sheet vs. S&P 500 Chart suggesting that since October 2019, a 1% increase in the Fed balance sheet has been associated with a 0.9% increase in the S&P 500,  (R² = 0.52). Image: Deutsche Bank…

Business Loans at U.S. Banks

Business Loans at U.S. Banks Business loans at U.S. banks are tightly connected to the real economy and stalled in second half of this year. Image: Financial Times

ISM Manufacturing Index and S&P 500 Realized Volatility

ISM Manufacturing Index and S&P 500 Realized Volatility Interesting chart suggesting the correlation between the S&P 500 realized volatility and the ISM Manufacturing Index. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Index and Recessions

S&P 500 Index and Recessions Usually, the U.S. stock market isn’t this buoyant just before a recession. Image: Bloomberg

Share of Global GDP

Share of Global GDP Today, U.S. GDP contributes 23.9% of the world’s economic output. In 1960, U.S. GDP was 40% of global GDP. Image: Jeroen Blokland

U.S. Discretionary Spending and Recessions

U.S. Discretionary Spending and Recessions Because there are few imbalances, Deutsche Bank suggests that the U.S. expansion could continue for many more years. Note: discreationary spending defined as consumer durable goods, plus business capex, plus…

U.S. CEO Departures and S&P 500 Index

U.S. CEO Departures and S&P 500 Index It is not a good time to be a CEO. This year is on pace to have the most CEO departures on record, at rates not seen since…