U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (All History)
U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (All History) Chart suggesting that the U.S. non-manufacturing sector is slowly improving. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (All History) Chart suggesting that the U.S. non-manufacturing sector is slowly improving. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Presidential Election Years and S&P 500 Index Average Cumulative Returns This chart suggests that since 1932, volatility during primaries can produce strong returns. Image: Capital Group
U.S. Seaborne Imports of Crude Oil by Origin The United States is also less dependent on foreign oil supply than it was a decade ago. Image: Financial Times
World Trade and Copper Chart suggesting that any improvement in world trade should benefit copper. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Dollar and Trump Job Approval Poll Average (Leading Indicator) This chart suggests that the U.S. dollar could rise, if it continues to track Trump’s approval rating. Image: Jeffrey Kleintop
U.S. ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart suggesting that ISM indices imply a slowdown rather than a recession. Image: BofA Global Research
Global Valuation Map This chart shows global valuation estimates across various countries, and suggests that the U.S. stock market is overvalued by +4%. Image: Morningstar Research
% Positive All Commodities Commodities are back in a big way. The % of commodities producing positive year-over-year returns has jumped to 55%. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
S&P 500 Valuation Ranking On a P/E basis, the S&P 500 Index is now valued at the 88th percentile vs. 28th percentile a year ago. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Election – Presidential Cycle and Average S&P 500 Return since 1872 Since 1872, the S&P500 index has averaged 6.2% during an election year, and 9.6% on average if a Republican wins. Image: Jefferies
U.S. Recession Probability Based on 29 Macro and Market Factors The U.S. recession probability is still below its average 6 months prior to the past 9 recessions. Image: Pictet Asset Management