G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities
G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities This chart suggests that G4 central bank stimulus would support emerging markets equities in 2020 (R = 0.94 since 2016). Image: BofA Global Research
G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities This chart suggests that G4 central bank stimulus would support emerging markets equities in 2020 (R = 0.94 since 2016). Image: BofA Global Research
No One Loses Money in China? That’s pretty curious. Very few Chinese companies appear to have a negative return on equity (ROE) compared to NYSE listed firms. Image: Wind Information
DHL Global Trade Barometer The DHL Global Trade Barometer is a leading indicator for the future development of global trade, suggesting a protracted but mild decline of world trade. You may also like “Recession Indicators.”…
U.S. Corporate Profits vs. Assets U.S. corporate profits are near 20-year lows relative to fixed assets. The alternative to a recovery in corporate profits is the increasing risk of recession. Image: BofA Global Research
How Major Central Banks Will Change Interest Rates by the End of 2020 Chart suggesting that 2020 appears to be a quieter year for monetary policy. Image: Bloomberg
Wage Growth vs. Fed Funds Target Rate and S&P 500 High wage growth and accomodative monetary policy suggest a return to the sweet spot for the S&P 500. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 and Average Bull Markets Chart showing the current S&P 500 rally compared to average bull markets since 1950. Image: The Leuthold Group
U.S. Job Growth and Business Cycles Chart showing that U.S. job growth has recovered more slowly than in previous cycles. Image: CNBC
S&P 500 Average Returns Since 1926 Historically, in the year following a double-digit gain, there have only been three years where the U.S. stock market has experienced a double-digit decline. Image: Ben Carlson
U.S. Job Growth vs. Population Growth and Recessions U.S. job growth continues to outpace population growth and does not point to an impending recession. Image: BLS