S&P 500 Next Twelve Month Equity Risk Premium
S&P 500 Next Twelve Month Equity Risk Premium Chart suggesting that the S&P 500 NTM equity risk premium remains well above its long-term average. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Next Twelve Month Equity Risk Premium Chart suggesting that the S&P 500 NTM equity risk premium remains well above its long-term average. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Buybacks – Quarterly Share Repurchases by S&P 500 Companies CEOs are worried about the economy and U.S. companies are spending less on stock buybacks, amid the trade war. Image: Financial Times
Where Do State Tax Revenues Come From? The most important category of revenue is individual income, followed by general sales. Income taxes paid by corporations rank fourth. Image: howmuch.net
S&P 500 and U.S. Initial Jobless Claims So far, the correlation between the S&P 500 and initial jobless claims has worked well for years. Image: UBS
Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey Leads U.S. Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting that the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey leads U.S. real GDP by 3 months. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Baseline Equity Returns (5 Years) Chart suggesting that high market valuations will affect equity returns in the coming years. Image: Oxford Economics
Investment Newsletters: Percentage of Equity Exposure Are investment newsletters too optimistic? Image: Truist
MSCI ACWI Index and Companies Run by Billionaires Are billionaires the best corporate leaders and victims of bias in the media? Image: Financial Times
Risky Assets Performance and Global Manufacturing PMI Interesting chart suggesting that risky assets are currently following the typical path when global growth is bottoming. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
China Real M1 Leads World Industrial Production Chart suggesting that China’s real M1 leads world industrial production by 6 months. Image: Nordea, Sebastian Dypbukt Källman
Survey – U.S. Recession Probability U.S. recession fears are fading and U.S. credit investors now see a 21% chance of recession over the next 12 months. It was 25% in September. Image: BofA Credit Investor…