Who Has the Most To Lose in US-China Trade War?
Who Has the Most To Lose in US-China Trade War? The tariffs are no threat and China has more to lose economically in a trade war. Those numbers are estimates but in reality wrong ones…
How to Get Inflation?
How to Get Inflation? Mainly, inflation comes from excess money supply growth. There is too much money in the system chasing too few goods and services. Nominal GDP = M x V = P x…
How is the Relationship Between the Fed and the Stock Market?
How is the Relationship Between the Fed and the Stock Market? The stock market influences the real economy of goods and services through the wealth effect. And the Fed responds to stock price movements only to…
S&P 500 Largest Pullbacks in the First Five Months of Each Year
S&P 500 Largest Pullbacks in the First Five Months of Each Year Over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 has performed the first five months of the year without a decline of at least…
Commercial and Industrial Loans Continue to Accelerate in the U.S.
Commercial and Industrial Loans Continue to Accelerate in the U.S. That’s a positive sign for the U.S. economy. Indeed, U.S. banks wouldn’t be lending if they were concerned about the economic situation. Past three recessions saw bank…
Ideal Portfolio – Stocks as Percent of Retirement Portfolio by Age
Ideal Portfolio – Stocks as Percent of Retirement Portfolio by Age For the ideal portfolio, GMO recommends the following stocks as percent of retirement portfolio by age. Source: GMO LLC
One of the Best Indicators to Monitor for Signs a U.S. Recession Is Coming
One of the Best Indicators to Monitor for Signs a U.S. Recession Is Coming The probability of being unemployed in a given month in the United States, by dividing the average initial claims for unemployment…
How the Composition of Wealth Changes from the Middle Class to The Ultra Rich?
How the Composition of Wealth Changes from the Middle Class to The Ultra Rich? From the middle class to the ultra rich, the composition of household wealth changes dramatically. Inequality: you may also like “U.S.…
What Does M1 Money Supply Growth Tell Us About the Next Recession?
What Does M1 Money Supply Growth Tell Us About the Next Recession? M1 is the money supply that includes types of money commonly used for payment, basically currency outside banks and checking account balances. This…
Big Starts to a Year Can Produce Weak Results Going Forward
Big Starts to a Year Can Produce Weak Results Going Forward While new all-time highs and consecutive winning streaks can produce above-average returns in the longer term, pullbacks are possible in the short term. Our…
Europe’s Stocks Are Really Unloved
Europe’s Stocks Are Really Unloved Europe’s benchmark has lagged other major ones in recent years. But on the positive side: the valuation is low, Europe will not disintegrate, the rotation from bonds to equities has…