Aggregated U.S. Equity Futures Positions Last week, leveraged funds and asset managers continued to hold significant net long positions in U.S. equity futures. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Estimated Effect of Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire on Real Eurozone GDP A limited Russia-Ukraine ceasefire could raise Eurozone GDP by 0.2%, with a full peace agreement potentially boosting it by 0.5%, according to Goldman Sachs estimates. Image:…

S&P 500 Valuations Despite recent declines, U.S. stocks are still expensive when compared to historical standards, raising concerns about future returns amid economic uncertainty. Image: BCA Research

S&P 500 Yearly Returns The “rule of 10 best days” illustrates the dangers of market timing. Since 1990, missing just the 10 best trading days each year would have turned the S&P 500’s positive returns…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day March is like a bull’s worst nightmare—after the S&P 500 took a nosedive of 3.10% last week, bears threw a party that even bulls couldn’t crash, tossing confetti and gleefully…

European Defense Stock Returns vs. U.S. Defense Stock Returns The trend of European defense stocks outperforming U.S. peers is likely to persist in the medium term due to sustained increases in military spending and geopolitical…

Seasonality – S&P 500 Returns in March Since 1950, the second half of March has tended to be favorable for U.S. stocks. This historical pattern, combined with the fact that March marks the end of…

S&P 500 vs. High-Grade U.S. Bonds vs. Junk U.S. Bonds While U.S. stocks generally have higher long-term returns, the current economic climate may favor junk U.S. bonds as a more stable investment option amidst fears…

Volatility – Return vs. VIX While a higher VIX indicates increased market uncertainty, it can also present opportunities for investors to achieve better average returns by strategically navigating the volatility. Image: Alpine Macro

Equal-Weight vs. Aggregate S&P 500 Annualized 10-Year Returns Given the high concentration in today’s S&P 500, long-term investors may benefit from considering an equal-weight strategy in the current market environment. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

MSCI Ex-US Developed World Stock Price Index Relative to MSCI US Stock Price Index vs. US Real Dollar Index There is often an inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and international stock markets, meaning that…