The Average American Investor Still Underperforms the Market Over the Long Term This is usually due to emotional biases, herding effect, lack of diversification, panic selling,… Most investors buy high and sell low at the…
Six months ago, the S&P 500 was overvalued by more than 14%… Six months ago, the S&P 500 was overvalued by more than 14% before the market crash, through our advanced stock market valuation model. Near…
Why Warren Buffett says that stocks are generally better than bonds? Our equity risk premium model shows when the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the…
Leveraged loans pose risks as corporate debt increases A leveraged loan is debt issued by a company that has below investment grade credit ratings and a considerable amount of debt with high interest rates. In…
Financial Crisis Survival Lessons: Beats Market & Peers Since Bottom (Ariel Fund) Charles Bobrinskoy at Ariel Investments, has a patient and long-term value approach. He says: “the best time to buy is when people are…
Cumulative Net Flows into Passive and Active Equity Funds since 2005 Here is the cumulative net flows into passive and active equity funds from 2005 to 2019. Passive is indexes & ETFs. Until active equity…
“Price is what you pay…” – Warren Buffett Quote of the day: “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” –Warren Buffett
Real Three-month Yield vs. Recessions Historically prior to every recession, the three-month yield exceeded inflation by almost 200 basis points since 1960. Today, the real three-month yield (adjusted for inflation) is just above zero. If…
US Yield Curve Inversion and Recessions This interesting chart shows the US yield curve inversion (10y-2y spread) and recessions. Historically, by ending the rate hiking cycle before an inversion, the expansion has still some legs…
“Money never made a man happy yet…” – Benjamin Franklin Quote of the day: “Money never made a man happy yet, nor will it. The more a man has, the more he wants. Instead of filling a…
Recession Length and Real Interest Rate at Time of Yield Curve Inversion This chart shows the recession length and real interest rate at time of yield curve Inversion. Looking at real interest rates can provide…