Equity Risk Premium and S&P 500 Valuations The current U.S. equity market’s expensive valuations are more grounded in earnings reality than during the late 1990s, but investors should remain cautious due to limited downside protection…
Copper Futures Copper prices declined significantly after it became clear that refined copper—essential for many industries—would not be subject to new U.S. tariffs, causing a sharp shift in market supply and demand expectations. Image: Daily…
Monthly Median IPO Return Durig First Trading Day The strong first-day trading performance of U.S. IPOs in 2025 provides clear evidence of a resurgence in speculative trading and renewed investor confidence in new listings. Image:…
S&P 500 2025 Year-End Forecasts Wall Street’s S&P 500 2025 year-end projections have improved since tariff issues appeared more manageable, but wide disparities persist due to shifting trade policies and broader macroeconomic risks. Image: Yahoo…
GS Social Media Economic Sentiment Index Having rebounded from negative territory earlier this year, the GS Social Media Economic Sentiment Index recently surged to its highest level, indicating a significant positive shift in economic sentiment…
S&P 500 Performance in August the Second Term of Post-Election Years August is often a weak month for the U.S. stock market during post-election years of second-term presidents, when their typically more difficult and less…
S&P 500 Year-End Target Oppenheimer projects strong gains for the S&P 500 supported by macroeconomic fundamentals, progress in trade deals, and structural technological shifts, with a year-end 2025 target of 7,100 points implying continued robust…
Tariffs Impact on YoY U.S. GDP Growth Over the next three years, higher tariffs are expected to slow U.S. GDP growth by 1.7%, as they raise costs for consumers and businesses, fuel inflation, and drag…
Net Call Volume for the Most Shorted Stocks vs the Rest The recent rally in the most shorted stocks has been fueled by a surge in net call volumes, driven largely by retail investor enthusiasm…
S&P 500 Performance After 63 Days Above the 20-Day Moving Average After closing above its 20-day moving average for 63 straight days, the S&P 500 has, in the past, continued to rise over the following…
Performance of the Most Shorted Stocks vs the Russell 3000 The recent three-month period has been exceptionally strong for the most heavily shorted stocks outside the pandemic boom, driven significantly by retail investors and short…