Oil, 10 Year U.S. Treasury Yields and U.S. Dollar The increasing cohesion in recent years between oil prices, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar reflects deeper economic linkages and heightened sensitivity to policy…
U.S. 2s10s Yield Curve and Consensus Probability of a U.S. Recessions in the Next 12 Months Although fears of a U.S. recession have been mounting, the 2s10s U.S. Treasury yield curve’s recent steepening suggests a…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day As the S&P 500 tumbled into a 10% correction, bears are grinning, eager to deport bulls from Wall Street, but bulls remain optimistic, waiting for their visas to be extended!…
Foreign Ownership of U.S. Equities by Region European investors, major holders of U.S. stocks, could impact valuations if trade tensions rise, potentially shifting focus to European markets benefiting from fiscal stimulus and increased defense spending.…
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E At a forward P/E multiple of 20x, the S&P 500 is trading at the low end of the trading range, which is below its 12-month average of 21x. Image:…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bulls ran wild on Wall Street after the S&P 500’s meteoric 0.51% rise this week, prompting calls for a new economic era, while bears are desperately Googling “how to sell…
ACWI Ex-U.S. vs. U.S. 3-Month Correlation and U.S. Equity 3-Month Return When U.S. equities experience a sell-off, it often indicates underlying worries about the global economy or financial system, triggering risk aversion. This typically leads…
S&P 500 Corrections and Bear Markets Market corrections don’t always lead to bear markets. In fact, historical data shows that only 13 of the past 39 corrections transitioned into bear markets, giving bulls reason to…
Number of Calendar Days the Correction Lasted for the S&P 500 S&P 500 corrections have varied significantly since 1928. The average correction lasts 185 days, with a median of 52 days. Interestingly, in 10 of…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day While bears are crucial for balancing the market, let’s face it: they’re secretly green with envy when bulls are having all the fun during a rally! Happy Friday, Everyone! 😎
U.S. Equity Flows The S&P 500’s correction has not only affected market performance but also altered individual investors’ behavior, with many refraining from “buying the dip” due to increased caution amid economic and market uncertainties.…