U.S. Economic Surprise Index

U.S. Economic Surprise Index A declining U.S. Economic Surprise Index, caused by economic data consistently underperforming expectations, can negatively impact equity performance. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears are preparing for the apocalypse, while bulls are partying like it’s 1999, convinced the U.S. economy is recession-proof—until it isn’t! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Three-Month 90/110 Implied Volatility

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Three-Month 90/110 Implied Volatility Signs of stability are emerging in the S&P 500 Index after the sharp correction, as traders abandon bets on further significant declines, reflecting growing confidence in…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Saint Patrick’s Day brings smiles to bulls as it’s not only one of the greenest days of the year but also historically the best day for U.S. stocks in March—leaving…

Aggregate Equity Positioning

Aggregate Equity Positioning Aggregate equity positioning has declined sharply and stands at 26th percentile, indicating investors’ markedly reduced willingness to take on risk. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Periods of S&P 500 Correction Above 10%

Periods of S&P 500 Correction Above 10% Due to the U.S. stock market’s dominant position, a correction exceeding 10% frequently triggers a domino effect across global equity markets, as investors react to heightened uncertainty and…

How Often Does a Correction Turn into a Bear Market?

How Often Does a Correction Turn into a Bear Market? Historically, a 10% correction rarely leads to a 20% bear market without economic downturns, earnings declines, or rate hikes. With no very serious adverse indicators…