Correlation Between Top 10 and S&P 500 While the concentration of large-cap stocks in the U.S. equity market is a topic of discussion, the evidence suggests that its impact on market behavior is not as…

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections The cyclical nature of equity markets around U.S. elections often leads to rallies after the election as policy uncertainties fade. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Annual Performance Based On What The First Five Days Do A bullish start to the year for the S&P 500 is often seen as a good omen. When the index rises in the…

S&P 500 Valuation – Shiller’s Cyclically-Adjusted Price-To-Earnings (CAPE) Ratio With the Shiller P/E ratio indicating an unusually high valuation for the U.S. stock market compared to the start of previous presidential terms, investors may need…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 rose 1.74% this week, maintaining its positive trajectory for January and giving bulls a reason to throw a party, while bears are contemplating a career change to…

Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) The euro has shown strength this week, but caution is warranted. Potential shifts in U.S. trade policy under Trump and ongoing economic disparities continue to give the dollar an edge.…

NFIB Small Business Confidence Index In December 2024, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index soared to 105.1, a six-year high, as small business owners’ confidence surged following the recent election and expectations of pro-business policies.…

S&P 500 Earnings and Gross Buybacks With U.S. corporate earnings on the rise, share buybacks in 2025 are expected to exceed $1 trillion. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Wall Street’s optimism is so high that even gravity seems bullish. As a result, bears are experiencing altitude sickness from the market’s rapid rise! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎

Average Probability S&P 500 Volatility Regime The probability of a high S&P 500 volatility regime has increased, suggesting that elevated volatility could persist throughout 2025. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – Price-to-Forward Earnings Ratios The U.S. stock market maintains a premium valuation compared to global markets, with the exception of India, leaving little room for error as it’s priced for perfection. Image: Goldman Sachs…