U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.54%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index At 69.09, the Greed and Fear Index signals firm bullish sentiment and building momentum as market participants look for another leg higher this week. Image: Real Investment Advice
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns December usually puts Wall Street in a festive mood. The reason? The Santa Claus rally typically shows up, with U.S. stocks averaging a 1.4% gain since 1950 and ending higher roughly 73% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance Around First Fed Cut Fed easing sounds bullish, but not when growth cracks. In recessions, U.S. stocks have often fallen despite cheaper money. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Insider Transactions Ratio Buying and selling activity by insiders remains in balance, keeping the Insider Transactions Ratio in neutral territory. Image: Barron’s
Market Pricing of Fed Rate Cuts Traders are increasingly confident the Fed will cut rates at the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting, pricing in an 86% chance of a quarter-point move and just a 23% likelihood of another cut in January 2026. Image: Deutsche Bank
Spot Gold Gold is holding strong above $4,000 an ounce after a blistering 55% run this year. Deutsche Bank hiked its 2026 forecast to $4,450, citing relentless ETF inflows and gold-hungry central banks keeping demand tight. Image: Bloomberg
Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate Estimates from the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow point to 3.9% annualized GDP growth in Q3 2025, a reminder that the U.S. economy isn’t cooling just yet. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Magnificent Seven Returns With one sector and seven giants driving the world’s biggest stock market, volatility isn’t going anywhere. Investors should brace for more swings in 2026. Image: Deutsche Bank
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns History shows the S&P 500 usually starts the first half of December in the green, but rarely with fireworks, as gains build more steadily later in the month rather than in the early days. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index Returns – Zweig Breadth Thrust Signals Since WWII The Zweig Breadth Thrust that flashed in late April 2025 drew plenty of doubters. Six months later, the S&P 500 has roared nearly 23% higher. Now, another ZBT may be forming, hinting the bulls still have fuel in the tank. Image: Carson Investment Research