U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 barely moved, closing down just 0.06%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
U.S. M2 Money Supply With M2 up 4.27% year on year, the money supply is lagging behind economic growth, pointing to cooling inflation rather than trouble. Image: Real Investment Advice
Performance Based on Congress Makeup – Average S&P 500 Index Annual Return Since 1950, U.S. stocks have typically shone under a split Congress, posting an average annual gain of 15.1% as investors embrace the political gridlock that keeps sweeping policy changes in check. Image: Carson Investment Research
Valuation – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Growth is holding firm and earnings are healthy, setting the stage for more gains in 2026, but global valuations look stretched, offering little buffer if momentum falters. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Insider Transactions Ratio Insiders are back on the buy side, driving the ratio into bullish territory and adding momentum to the U.S. market’s tailwind. Image: Barron’s
Markets – Average Daily Change: SPY, TLT, LQD, HYG, IBIT Is “Sell America” becoming the new market mantra? Europe could rattle investors if it strikes back with tariffs and its own trade bazooka. Image: Bloomberg
Bond Fund Flows (Last 4 Weeks) Bond funds keep drawing strong inflows as investors look for yield and stability in a world of moderating inflation and lingering uncertainty. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index Lower rates and the end of quantitative tightening have opened the door to easier U.S. financial conditions, paving a smoother path for growth among households and businesses. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed nudged its Q1 2026 U.S. GDP Nowcast higher to 2.75% from 2.61% a week earlier, signaling an economy still growing at a measured, durable pace. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click the Image to Enlarge
Risk Appetite Indicator for Different Asset Classes Investors’ appetite for equities has surged, showing signs of overheating and leaving little margin for error. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs still expects the S&P 500 to rise 12% this year, hitting 7,600 on the back of steady growth, resilient earnings, and a productivity boost from AI. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research