U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell, and the S&P 500 followed through, ending the day up 0.70%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the…
Forward S&P 500 Returns After Prior Breakouts to New Highs Beat the Average Day Over the past ten years, when the S&P 500 has broken to a new high after at least two months without one, the 12‑month forward return has averaged 16.4%. Fear, in this case, has been a poor strategist. Image: Real Investment…
S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year March’s 9% pullback may already be the year’s deepest. If so, the market has less room for another major selloff. Back-to-back drawdowns of that size are rare, giving bulls a reason to stay optimistic. Image: Carson Investment Research
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total What once echoed the market now sets the tempo. The top 10 names in the S&P 500 account for 39% of the index and 38% of its earnings, pushing up multiples and amplifying day-to-day swings. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment The Fear & Greed Index is at 60, solidly in greed territory. Risk appetite is back, but the gauge isn’t screaming euphoria. It’s just enough fuel to keep the rally rolling. Image: Cable News Network
Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E At 16 times forward earnings, versus 20 for the benchmark, the equal-weight index isn’t cheap, but it looks more appealing than the broader market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MSCI AC World EPS EPS estimates for the MSCI AC World are being pushed higher for 2026 and 2027, with the Street betting AI’s tech boom will lift margins rather than trigger another capex hangover. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors are still playing defense. The AAII bull-bear spread has climbed for two straight weeks, but remains in negative territory, a pattern that has often preceded attractive buying opportunities. Image: The Daily Chartbook
Global Monetary Policy Stimulus and Global Manufacturing PMI 2026 belonged to global growth, but the wind is turning. Inflation is firming, putting rate hikes back in play. The road into 2027 looks slower and bumpier. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures is signaling overbought conditions in the S&P 500. For investors, that may be a good moment to trim positions and rebalance portfolios. Image: MarketDesk Research
Earnings Surprises of S&P 500 Companies Earnings season is repeating the same refrain: corporate profits are still resilient. 64% of S&P 500 companies have beaten Q2 estimates by at least one standard deviation, while only 8% have missed. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research