U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Two Tuesdays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.81%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 86.01, the S&P 500 is firmly in overbought territory. Some consolidation would be a natural next step. This could be a good moment to trim risk and rebalance portfolios. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance After Seven Week Wins Streaks Up >10% A seven-week winning streak and a double-digit gain tend to set the tone. Since 1950, US stocks have delivered an average 12-month return of 15.7% and never finished in the red. No wonder the bulls are smiling. Image: Carson Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning has risen to the 69th percentile, tilting modestly overweight but not yet stretched, with more upside still within reach. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are returning to the buy side, driving the Insider Transactions Ratio into bullish territory. Historically, renewed insider buying has often pointed to strengthening sentiment. Image: Barron’s
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total The market used to be a mirror. Now it’s a loudspeaker. Ten mega-caps drive 40% of the S&P 500, lifting valuations and amplifying every move. It feels fine on the way up. Painful in selloffs. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
CTAs Exposure to Equities Since the start of the year, CTAs have cut equity exposure to the 49th percentile, but their positioning remains solidly long, pointing to a cautious but constructive stance. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Financials Group Positioning Positioning in financials is still extremely light, sitting in the 7th percentile and leaving ample room to build exposure. That caution looks increasingly misplaced given the fundamentals. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs is sticking with the U.S. growth call, projecting the economy will hold at 2.1% in both 2026 and 2027, supported by tax cuts, looser financial conditions, and easing tariff pressure. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Long/Short Momentum Factor Returns Around 3-Month Rallies of 20%+ Goldman’s Momentum Factor has jumped over 25% in the past three months. Moves like this are rare, only 11 since 1980. The historical playbook points to consolidation, not a top. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street’s optimism is holding firm despite the Middle East conflict. Analysts see S&P 500 earnings climbing 22% in 2026 and 15% in 2027, while small caps are projected to surge 40% this year and 38% next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research