U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Monday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 1.15%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index sits at 50.71, in neutral territory. While the selloff has been sharp, a reflexive rally wouldn’t be surprising. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year Markets are never a straight ride up. Since 1980, the S&P 500 has averaged double‑digit gains while dropping roughly 14% each year. Volatility is simply the cost of long-term reward. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Around Over 30 Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939 At current levels, the S&P 500 has slipped slightly more than its typical reaction to geopolitical shocks. If history holds true, could some calm return to markets before long? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits in the 23rd percentile, firmly underweight. A full de-escalation could spark a rebound in positioning, opening space for further upside as sentiment improves. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History With the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq 100 trading at 24 times forward earnings and the S&P 500 at 20, the market’s appetite for growth hasn’t faded. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII Sentiment Survey Bearish sentiment among U.S. retail investors dipped just below the halfway mark at 49.8%, but remains well above the long-term average. This is not surprising, given the uneasy market mood. Image: The Daily Chartbook
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator is at -0.9, a level that generally points to muted S&P 500 gains over the following month. That’s not the kind of reading that fires up equity bulls. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
When Do You Expect a Ceasefire to Be Reached Between the U.S. and Iran? Investors are largely treating the Middle East conflict as a temporary shock, with most expecting a U.S.-Iran ceasefire before the end of April. Image: Deutsche Bank
Fed Funds Rate Markets are now pricing in a meaningful chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026, something that looked very unlikely at the start of the year. Image: MarketDesk Research
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Confident in the earnings outlook, Goldman Sachs is sticking to its bullish view, expecting the S&P 500 to climb 12% to 7,600 this year, even as some bumps on the road look inevitable. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research