U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Thursday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 0.77%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the…
After Narrow Market Leadership: Drawdowns in the Leading Sector Across decades, concentrated leadership has signaled fragile market health: when only a few sectors drive gains, weakening breadth tends to precede sharp declines. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle Midterm years have a reputation for shaky markets. History tells a different story in second presidential terms, with U.S. stocks averaging an 8.8% gain since 1950. Those midterm jitters tend to fade quicker than investors expect. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction Margin debt is surging into territory that has some investors on edge, firmly in what many would call the danger zone. For now, momentum still favors the upside, but any reversal could quickly raise red flags. Image: Topdown Charts
MSCI AC World EPS Analysts are steadily raising MSCI AC World EPS forecasts for 2026 and 2027, betting the AI and tech boom will lift profits and margins rather than spark another hype-driven spending cycle. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. ETF and Mutual Fund Flows Over the past year, U.S. investors have favored bonds and money market funds over riskier equities, with geopolitical tensions hanging over markets and interest rates staying elevated. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed inched up its Q2 2026 US GDP nowcast to 2.61% from 2.59% a week ago, keeping the expansion story intact. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click the Image to Enlarge
Citi Economic Surprises The U.S. economy has held up better than its peers since the Middle East conflict escalated, as growth prospects elsewhere have dimmed, pushing investors toward the U.S. as the steadier bet. Image: TS Lombard
Average Global Equities Returns Depending on Absolute Moves in U.S. 10-Year Yieldss Big moves in bond yields rarely go unnoticed by equities. A rapid rise in yields can act as a red flag for stocks, as investors push for greater compensation to stay exposed. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Sector P/E Valuations Relative to History S&P 500 Financials continue to trade at modest valuations versus other sectors, while Industrials already reflect a fair amount of optimism. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
1-Month Rolling Correlation of 10-Year UST Yield Change and S&P 500 Returns Since the start of the Middle East conflict, U.S. Treasuries have struggled to play their traditional diversification role. The one-month rolling correlation between 10-year yields and equitie returns has sunk to a multi-decade low. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research