U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Monday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 1.01%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 27.98, the S&P 500 sits firmly in oversold territory, putting bargain hunters on alert as the odds of a reflexive rally are increasing. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns Saint Patrick’s Day is putting a smile on the bulls, as it’s not just one of the greenest days of the year but also historically the strongest for U.S. stocks in March, leaving bears short on luck. Happy Saint Patrick’s Day! 🍀☘ Image: Carson Investment Research
Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are back in buying mode, pushing the Insider Transactions Ratio into bullish territory and injecting some optimism into U.S. stocks. It’s usually a bullish signal when insiders start buying again. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 Return Around 7 Major Geopolitical Risk Events The S&P 500’s 5% slide from its January peak mirrors the market’s typical pullback after major geopolitical shocks. Many investors see the turbulence as temporary, betting that history’s pattern of quick recoveries will hold. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuations – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Despite the pullback, valuations in U.S. and global equities remain lofty, with earnings momentum doing the heavy lifting. As long as companies keep delivering solid numbers, those sky-high multiples may keep defying gravity. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies are slightly overweight at the 55th percentile, while discretionary investors positioning is still cautious at the 21st percentile. A change in sentiment could pave the way for more upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
EPS Revisions Upward EPS revisions across the S&P 500, Topix, and especially MSCI EM point to growing confidence in 2026 earnings, with momentum still tilted toward strength even as the STOXX 600 struggles to keep pace. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors remain cautious as the AAII bull-bear spread holds at a three-month low. With uncertainty still clouding the outlook, that’s expected. Sentiment rarely turns until investors see a clearer path ahead. Image: The Daily Chartbook
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns Historically, the second half of March tends to finish in the green. Seasonality helps, but just when a rally starts to look inevitable, the market has a habit of flipping the script. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 and Crude Oil Since the conflict erupted in the Middle East, the S&P 500 has been moving almost opposite to oil, showing a striking 91% inverse correlation. When crude rises, investors often worry about squeezed U.S. consumers and slower growth. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation