U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Tuesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.41%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market…
S&P 500 and Liquidity Liquidity stays abundant. But since 2022, dip-buyers have stopped tracking liquidity and started trading on Fed whispers, reading signals more than balance sheets. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Returns Based on If January Is Higher or Lower Bulls have reason to smile: a positive January often sets the tone for a bullish year. When the S&P 500 finishes the month higher, history shows full-year gains averaging 16.9% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment At 62, the Fear & Greed Index points to a market comfortably in greed territory, not euphoric and lively enough for another leg higher. Image: Cable News Network
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 February has a history of flat returns but plenty of drama, earning its reputation as one of the market’s trickier months for investors. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) A steady U.S. dollar holding its range might be just what traders and markets need. But let it slip below 90 with conviction, and sentiment can turn quickly: what once looked like a healthy pause starts to look like a dollar problem. Image: MarketDesk Research
AAII Sentiment Survey Retail investor momentum in the U.S. shows no sign of fading, with AAII bulls topping bears for a ninth straight week. Image: The Daily Chartbook
S&P 500 Sector P/E Valuations Relative to History Investors’ risk appetite shows little sign of cooling, with S&P 500 sectors still commanding valuations well past historical averages. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns The first half of February has usually brought modest S&P 500 gains, followed by a challenging second half, resulting in overall monthly flat performance. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment Active managers are still pressing the accelerator, with the NAAIM Exposure Index at 92.58 showing firm conviction in U.S. equities. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM members. Image: NAAIM
U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator) U.S. heavy truck sales rose in December to 392K (annualized). Before recessions, heavy trucks sales tend to peak and then decline, providing insights into the overall health of the U.S. economy as a leading economic indicator. Click the Image to Enlarge