U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Monday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.44%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 39.13, the S&P 500 is mildly oversold. After sentiment hit the floor in March, the rebound could stretch further if confidence starts to rebuild. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Annualized Return per Day The 2026 playbook feels familiar: U.S. stocks push higher through midweek before traders take profits and trim exposure ahead of the weekend. It has become pretty much the market’s weekly routine. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns Every year, investors take on roughly 14% in average drawdowns, but the S&P 500 has managed to rise in 35 of the past 46. That kind of turbulence is simply the ticket to long-term gains. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Estimated Share of S&P 500 EPS Growth AI infrastructure spending is expected to drive about 40% of S&P 500 earnings growth this year, and around 28% in 2027. It’s a strong tailwind for profits today, but one that leaves the market increasingly dependent on it. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Spread Between P/E of S&P 500 Information Technology Sector and S&P 500 After a sharp retreat from last year’s record highs, tech stocks are looking appealing again for investors ready to ride the long game. That opportunity is getting harder to ignore. Image: Bloomberg
AAII Asset Allocation Signs of caution are surfacing among U.S. retail investors, who cut their stock holdings for a fourth straight month in March while trimming bond positions and parking more money in cash. Many are waiting for clearer signals. Image: Daily Chartbook
Bond Volatility – MOVE Index With the MOVE index trending lower, U.S. rate volatility has cooled, which brings a dose of relief to bond desks and, by extension, the economy. It’s definitely a welcome breather for the markets. Image: The Daily Shot
60/40 Portfolio Monthly Return Decomposition The classic 60/40 portfolio slid 3.7% in March as stocks and bonds dropped in tandem. Such lockstep declines aren’t unusual when markets brace for higher prices or sticky inflation ahead. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Positioning Across Sector Groups Investors are keeping exposure light across most sectors, with only Energy and Utilities still drawing interest. That’s hardly surprising, as Energy remains the market’s only bright spot. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Indexed Return of Cyclicals vs. Defensives and Consensus Forward 4-Quarter U.S. GDP Growth Markets are leaning toward a slower-growth view. Relative returns between cyclical and defensive stocks point to roughly 1.4% U.S. real GDP growth, well short of Goldman Sachs’ 2.1% forward 4Q GDP growth forecast. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research