U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Tuesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell, and the S&P 500 followed through, ending the day up 0.58%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 81.39, the S&P 500 is firmly in overbought territory. Momentum still favors the bulls and supports are intact, but the climb may not be smooth. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance 1-Year After Midterm Elections Midterm elections have been a reliable tailwind for stocks: the S&P 500 has risen over the following year every time since 1950, averaging a 14.8% gain. No doubt, bulls have history on their side. Image: Carson Investment Research
Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are buying, pushing the Insider Transactions Ratio further into bullish territory and adding fuel to the rally. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 and 2027 Goldman Sachs still sees the S&P 500 climbing to 8,000 by year-end, 8,300 in six months and 8,700 within a year. Earnings growth, not higher valuations, is expected to drive the next leg higher. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies remain overweight, with positioning at the 85th percentile. Discretionary investors are still cautious, modestly underweight at the 32nd percentile, leaving significant room to add risk. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
CTAs Exposure to Equities CTAs have trimmed equity exposure over the past month, but positioning remains elevated, at the 67th percentile. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 34% year over year in Q3, a pace more typical of the early stages of an economic recovery. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Risk Appetite Indicator Level and Momentum Factors Goldman Sachs’ Risk Appetite Indicator has cooled from extreme levels, sitting just above neutral. Market participants are still engaged, but are growing more cautious. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Market Breadth – Percent Below 52-Week High S&P 500 Index Less Median Stock The S&P 500 is setting record highs, but market breadth is still deteriorating. The median stock now trades 16% below its peak, the weakest breadth since the dot-com bubble. Fewer stocks are joining the rally. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Share Buyback Authorization Announcements AI spending is grabbing attention, but buybacks are fueling the rally on Wall Street. U.S. companies have authorized a record $1.141 trillion in repurchases this year, providing strong support for equities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research