U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Thursday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 1.02%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 82.35, the S&P 500 is drifting into overbought territory, a level that often prompts investors to take some chips off the table. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 – Bull Markets That Made It To 100% At just 3.5 years old and already up more than 100%, the current bull market still looks like it has legs, leaving bears stuck watching from the sidelines. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index U.S. factory activity extended its run in April, with the ISM Manufacturing Index rising to 52.7, marking a fourth straight month of expansion. The print points to steady momentum building across the industrial sector. The chart shows the correlation between the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and the S&P…
Discretionary Positioning and Earnings Growth Discretionary positioning still lags the pace of earnings growth, leaving room for the rally to extend as long as revisions stay supportive and macro risks stay in check. That could pull more money into equities. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Retail Gasoline Price Change Between February 23 and April 27, 2026 The Middle East conflict is sending fuel costs soaring across Asia, with gasoline prices in Southeast Asia up 37% since the war began. In the U.S., prices have surged 42%, a sharp rise that is hard to ignore. Image: J.P. Morgan Commodities Research
S&P 500 1-Month Forward Returns Based On Sentiment Indicator Level Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits at 1.7, a reading historically linked to an average 0.4% decline in the S&P 500 over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies sit in the 57th percentile, while discretionary investor positioning is at the 52nd percentile, leaving overall exposure far from crowded and with room to build. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 93.79, the NAAIM Exposure Index captures strong risk-on positioning among active managers, pointing to solid conviction in U.S. equities. The bulls remain in control. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM members. Image: NAAIM
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns Since 1950, the first half of May has tended to be soft for the S&P 500, ranking as the fourth weakest stretch of the year. Think of it as a seasonal headwind, not a trading signal. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consensus EPS Growth Estimates The Middle East conflict has done little to rattle Wall Street’s bullish mood. Analysts see S&P 500 earnings rising 22% in 2026 and 14% in 2027, with small caps poised for a 45% jump this year and 32% more in the next. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research