U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Tuesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 0.62%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Purchasing Power Preservation of Different Investments (S&P 500, Bonds, Gold, Real Estate) Gold keeps its shine, but since 1928, U.S. stocks have sparkled brighter. The longer the horizon, the more momentum favors productive assets. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Returns and Santa Claus Rally Santa Claus skipped Wall Street this year, and for the bulls, that’s often a warning the new year may bring choppier trading. Will this time be any different? Image: Carson Investment Research
Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest for the median S&P 500 stock remains elevated, climbing to 2.7%. The rise, though, appears driven more by hedging activity than by outright fear or speculative panic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs expects the S&P 500 to deliver a 12% total return in 2026, climbing to 7,600 by year-end on the back of steady growth, firm profits, and a productivity boost from AI. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bitcoin Price and Moving Averages Bitcoin’s recovery above its 50-day moving average after sharp drops like the one in early October 2025 typically signals the start of a potential reversal or at least a move toward steadier ground. Image: Bloomberg
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total The S&P 500 used to mirror the broader market. Now, just ten mega-caps control more than 40% of its weight, skewing valuations, amplifying volatility, and testing the limits of diversification. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Drawdown to Subsequent Three-Year Trough When U.S. equity valuations soar and just a handful of giants drive the gains, history rarely smiles and often follows with sharp corrections or years of going nowhere. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Cash to Total Assets S&P 500 and S&P 500 Ex-Financials The corporate cash cushion is thinning. S&P 500 firms have slashed their reserves from pandemic peaks, redirecting capital toward AI infrastructure, growth projects, and buybacks in a world where cash no longer comes cheap. Image: J.P. Morgan Equity Strategy and Global Quantitative Research
Risky vs. Safe Assets Fund Flows Investors’ continued tilt toward riskier assets signals growing confidence in the markets and the broader economic outlook, alongside a clear appetite for capital growth and higher returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Share of S&P 500 Annual Return Contributed by the 10 Largest Stocks In 2025, just 10 stocks generated more than half of the S&P 500’s gains, a reminder that the market’s engine is running on a few powerful cylinders. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research