U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Three Tuesdays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell, and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 1.79%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 71.51, the S&P 500 is slightly overbought. Sentiment remains bullish, and no major technical breaks have emerged. More volatility may be ahead. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs is holding its call for earnings to propel the S&P 500 to 8,000 in 2026, implying a 17% annual return even if the path remains bumpy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning At the 58th percentile, consolidated equity positioning is modestly overweight but far from crowded, leaving room for investors to add risk. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are stepping back into the market, sending the Insider Transactions Ratio into bullish territory. The renewed buying gives bulls another reason to stay optimistic. Image: Barron’s
Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E The S&P 500 equal-weight index trades at 16 times forward earnings, versus 20 times for the benchmark. It is hardly cheap, but the discount makes it look more attractive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks While the pace of new S&P 500 buyback announcements has cooled in the past few weeks, overall buyback activity in corporate America remains firm, providing steady support for stocks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Cross Asset Flows as a % of Assets Government bonds continue to draw strong investor demand, offering relatively attractive yields while interest rates stay high. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Performance Around Earnings Seasons The S&P 500 typically rises during the first four weeks of earnings season, loses steam in the weeks that follow, and regains momentum as the next reporting cycle approaches. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Equity Net Long Positioning – Asset Managers Net Future Positions Asset managers are piling into S&P 500 futures longs, pushing net exposure to elevated levels. The bet is straightforward: more upside. The risk? Any reversal leaves little cushion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession At just 13%, market-implied recession odds for the next year are below the long-term average, pointing to a supportive risk backdrop. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research