U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.37%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index sits at 71.34, edging toward extreme greed. Bullish sentiment is on the rise, but not yet stretched to the levels that typically precede short-term market peaks. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance After Eight Week Wins Streaks Up >12% An eight-week winning streak and a rise of more than 12% set the tone. Since 1950, U.S. stocks have followed up with a median 12-month return of 20.1% and have never finished lower. That is the kind of backdrop bulls like. Image: Carson Investment Research
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 0.3, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits near neutral. Historically, levels like this have preceded an average 0.8% gain in the S&P 500 over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equity Positioning Overall equity positioning is in the 53rd percentile, slightly overweight, with crowding picking up in large caps, especially in tech. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Valuation Metrics (Z-Score Since 1900) U.S. stocks have moved decisively out of bargain territory. Valuations are rich, with most measures running over two standard deviations above history. “Cheap” is not in the market’s vocabulary right now. Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks Buyback announcements are picking up across corporate America, pointing to healthy balance sheets and a greater appetite to spend surplus cash. That wave is supporting equities and keeping sentiment constructive. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Performance Around Issuance Upcycles Past issuance waves tell a familiar story: they usually line up with strong U.S. equity performance, underpinned by steady buying interest. That pattern is tough to ignore in a rising market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Equity Fund Flows vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Investors are pouring into equities on the back of solid earnings momentum. As long as earnings hold up, the trend should carry on. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Technical Composite A mix of technical breadth indicators shows the S&P 500 isn’t overheating yet, leaving room for further upside. It’s tough to argue the market is stretched when breadth still looks healthy. Image: MarketDesk Research
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Backed by solid EPS forecasts, Goldman Sachs keeps its bullish view, targeting a 12% rise to 7,600 on the S&P 500 this year, though not without bumps. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research