U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Friday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 0.98%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index With the Greed and Fear Index sitting at 63.12, bullish sentiment is holding firm and bulls could push for more gains this week. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns November 24 has a habit of lifting Wall Street’s spirits. It’s historically the S&P 500’s third-best session, averaging a 0.47% gain, trailing only October 28 and December 26. Image: Carson Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning With consolidated equity positioning now in the 34th percentile and turning underweight for the first time since July, markets have room for a rebound in risk appetite if sentiment improves. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ US Equity Sentiment Indicator is now at -0.3, hinting at mild bearish sentiment that has tended to flip into S&P 500 gains in the following month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sectors Positioning (High Frequency) Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech names has eased but stays lofty compared with other sectors. Valuation worries are prompting some trimming, but the broader growth narrative is far from broken. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Valuations have eased, but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 still trade at 22 and 27 times forward earnings. A reminder that the market remains priced for another surge in profits from tech and AI giants. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest for the median S&P 500 stock remains high, rising to 2.4%. However, the move is currently being driven more by investors using shorts as a hedge rather than out of outright fear or speculative panic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Meeting Traders are showing renewed optimism for a Fed rate cut at the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting, pricing in a 71% chance of a 25-basis-point move lower. Image: CME Group
Insider Transactions Ratio Buying and selling activity by insiders is in balance again, putting the Insider Transactions Ratio back in neutral territory. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 Price Target for 2025 and 2026 Goldman Sachs sees the S&P 500 climbing to 6,800 by the end of 2025 and pushing toward 7,600 in 2026, betting on an accommodative Fed and the staying power of big caps. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research