U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Tuesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.81%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 86.61, the S&P 500 looks overbought. Sentiment has flipped quickly off the March lows, driving a swift recovery. That leaves little room for disappointment. Taking profits and managing risk makes sense here. Image: Real Investment Advice
New S&P 500 Index All-Time Highs Per Year The S&P 500 hit its 16th all-time high of 2026, reinforcing the market’s bullish tone. With only 1993 peaking at 16, history suggests more records could follow, keeping the wind at the bulls’ backs. Image: Carson Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning has risen to the 61st percentile, edging into modest overweight territory but not yet stretched. The backdrop still leans in favor of risk. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 1.3, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator remains stretched, a level that has historically preceded an average 1.2% gain in the S&P 500 over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -1.68% YoY in April. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary Help Services Jobs are often considered a leading indicator of a potential recession (red line at -3.5%), but they do…
YoY Growth in S&P 500 Cash Use S&P 500 companies are shifting cash to capex, led by AI, while buybacks stall. The result may be weaker EPS support and a thinner cushion for stock prices. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MSCI AC World EPS Analysts are steadily lifting MSCI AC World EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027, convinced the AI and tech boom will boost profits and margins rather than another hype-fueled spending wave. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields vs. New Fed Chair 10-year U.S. Treasury yields often push higher in the first six months after a new Fed chair takes office, as markets adjust to a new policy regime. Leadership changes cloud the outlook, and markets price in that uncertainty. Image: TS Lombard
S&P 500 Trend Channel The S&P 500 has rallied back to the lower bound of its trend channel in place since October 2022. If buyers defend this level, the index should begin to grind higher from here, tracking along that support. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Risk Appetite Indicator Goldman Sachs’ Risk Appetite Indicator is still climbing and now looks stretched, with early signs of overheating as investors crowd into riskier assets chasing further gains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research