U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Wednesday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 2.51%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Oil Prices vs. U.S. Inflation When oil climbs, inflation usually follows, lifting energy and transport costs that spread through the economy. The result often weighs on stocks, as tighter profit margins and softer consumer spending feed through the market. Image: Real Investment Advice
1000 Point Advances for the Dow Jones Industrial Average The Dow posted its 25th intraday gain of more than 1,000 points yesterday, with 23 coming during Trump’s presidency. Everyone wants to catch the big move, but the hard part is not missing it. Image: Carson Investment Research
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment The S&P 500 is not trading far from record highs, and with sentiment at 31 on the Fear & Greed Index, bulls could find fresh fuel if momentum picks up. Image: Cable News Network
Earnings Growth – Mag 7 and S&P 500 ex-Mag 7 The Magnificent Seven are on track for a 26% earnings jump this year, far ahead of the S&P 500’s 14% pace. With tech’s momentum still running hot, it’s tough to bet against the big seven now. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
MSCI World Sector/Style Valuations Valuations remain rich across some sectors and styles, pushing investors to be more selective. Even so, pockets of value are beginning to surface. Selectivity is key in this environment. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -2.13% YoY in March. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary Help Services Jobs are often considered a leading indicator of a potential recession (red line at -3.5%), but they do…
Valuation – PEG Ratio Between the U.S. and the Rest of the World The valuation premium of U.S. equities versus the rest of the world, through the PEG lens, has narrowed in recent months. But U.S. growth expectations still justify some of that premium. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Fund Flows Since 2019, both cash and bonds have drawn substantial inflows, as investors have shifted toward perceived safety and income‑generating assets amid heightened macro uncertainty and evolving central‑bank policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Magnificent Seven 12-Month Forward P/E Valuations for the Magnificent Seven have come down meaningfully from their recent highs. That doesn’t necessarily make them cheap, but the risk‑reward looks far more balanced. Valuations make more sense now. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Equities Performance Since spring 2025, U.S. stocks have underperformed relative to other major markets, breaking a long streak of outperformance. A weaker dollar has added momentum to global diversification, especially among overseas investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research