U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Five Mondays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell — and the S&P 500 delivered, closing up 1.56%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index With the Greed and Fear Index sitting at 70.37, sentiment leans bullish — market participants see dips as buying opportunities, not warning signs. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Peak-to-Trough During a Midterm Year Midterm years often bring large pullbacks — but history says don’t panic. Since 1950, every midterm-year bottom in U.S. stocks has been followed by a powerful rebound, averaging gains of more than 30% over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning With consolidated equity positioning sitting at the 47th percentile, investors are keeping one foot on the brake and one on the gas—ready to hit the gas if the rally shows more legs. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator stands at -0.7 — a cautious tone that has tended to precede modest S&P 500 gains over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Nasdaq 100 Ratio to S&P 500 Equal Weighted After years of leaving the broader market in the dust, the Nasdaq 100’s outperformance over the average S&P 500 stock has lost steam, with recent data showing the gap is starting to narrow. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Overall market positioning signals a cautious tone, with discretionary investors staying on the defensive, while systematic strategies keep trimming risk from previously overweight levels. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
AAII Sentiment Survey When the crowd turns gloomy, contrarians start to smile — the AAII bull-bear spread’s slump looks less like a warning and more like an invitation. Image: The Daily Chartbook
S&P 500 Trend Channel The S&P 500 is testing the bottom of its trend channel — a line the bulls can’t afford to lose. Deutsche Bank’s 7,000 call by year-end 2025 flags conviction in solid earnings, steady buybacks, and resilient investor appetite. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Insider Transactions Ratio With the Insider Transactions Ratio back in bullish territory, corporate insiders are signaling renewed confidence — a potential tailwind for the U.S. stock market. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 Price Target for 2025 and 2026 Goldman Sachs is doubling down on its bullish S&P 500 call, hiking its 2026 target to 7,600 from 7,200, betting on rate cuts, resilient earnings, and a no-recession glide path to keep the rally running. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research