U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Monday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was neutral well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 barely moved, closing down just 0.16%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index has climbed to 80.68, showing markets running hot as investors chase the continuing rally. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Returns During The Santa Claus Rally The Santa Claus Rally is the market’s year-end sweet spot, with U.S. stocks historically rising over the last five trading days of December and the first two of January. Since 1950, it has never posted losses three years in a row. Image: Carson Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits just above neutral at the 53rd percentile: not risk-on, not risk-off, but ready to move if momentum accelerates. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits at 1.0, a level that in the past has tended to precede another leg higher for the S&P 500 over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History With the S&P 500 at 22 times forward earnings and the Nasdaq 100 at 27, valuations remain rich as investors bet on another year of solid profit growth in 2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies are sitting at the 78th percentile, but discretionary investors remain stuck at the 49th percentile, leaving plenty of dry powder for another leg higher. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors aren’t hitting the brakes just yet. The AAII Bulls have stayed above 44% for a third straight week, a setup that often bodes well for the S&P 500 over the next 6 and 12 months. Image: The Daily Chartbook
2026 Equity Forecasts Goldman Sachs anticipates upside potential for global equities in 2026 amid a multipolar economic environment, while projecting modest underperformance for U.S. markets relative to international peers. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
EPS – GS Top-Down vs. Consensus Bottom-Up Estimates Goldman Sachs sees S&P 500 EPS rising 12% in 2026 and 10% in 2027, driven by a resilient U.S. economy, a weaker dollar, strong mega-cap tech earnings, and AI-related productivity gains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Survey – Biggest Risks to Market Stability in 2026 A rare consensus is emerging among investors on what could shake markets in 2026. Deutsche Bank’s latest survey finds AI and tech bubble jitters leading the pack, overshadowing concerns about Fed autonomy and private credit stress. Click the Image to Enlarge