S&P 500 Market Cap / S&P 500 Equal Weight Index The current performance gap—where the market-cap-weighted index outperforms the equal-weight index—does not necessarily signal an imminent bear market, but it does warrant some caution for investors. Image: Real Investment Advice
Gold ETF Holdings and COMEX Open Interest The confluence of rising gold ETF holdings, speculative flows, central bank buying, and macroeconomic factors has created strong bullish momentum for gold, which is likely to persist through the remainder of 2025 and into 2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fed Funds Rate By the end of 2026, Goldman Sachs anticipates four 25-basis-point cuts and expects the Fed to loosen monetary policy more than markets foresee, driven by worries about weaker employment growth and inflation dynamics. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Hyperscaler Spending Growth – Capex and Buybacks The buyback slowdown is a strong indicator that hyperscalers are deferring short-term shareholder returns to channel capital into the rapid and large-scale build-out of AI infrastructure in 2025. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bloomberg’s Global 60/40 Equity/Fixed Income Portfolio Reaching a new all-time high, the global 60/40 portfolio has demonstrated renewed strength and remains a cornerstone strategy for long-term investors who prioritize diversification, balance, and moderate risk tolerance. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. ETF and Mutual Fund Flows Amid ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainties and elevated interest rates, investors continue to prefer liquid, low-volatility assets—such as bonds and money market funds—over equities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Spot Gold Rising over 40% this year, gold has outperformed the S&P 500 and surpassed its inflation-adjusted 1980 peak, supported by trade tensions, geopolitical risks, robust central bank purchases, and steady ETF inflows. Image: Bloomberg
Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects that U.S. real GDP will expand at a 3.3% annualized rate in Q3 2025, suggesting steady and robust economic momentum. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions In August, U.S. building permits declined to 1.312 million, below expectations. Historically, building permits tend to peak and then decline prior to economic recessions. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Valuation – S&P 500 P/E Ratio Fueled by AI, the S&P 500 has climbed to its highest valuation in decades. However, elevated valuations alongside significant economic and geopolitical risks raise the likelihood of a market pullback. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…