U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Monday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.12%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index has pushed up to 76.11, entering extreme greed territory, a level that often prompts investors to trim risk and rebalance portfolios. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance After >5% YTD After April Since 1972, when the S&P 500 has been up more than 5% heading into May, it has ended the year higher 92% of the time, with a median gain of 10%. No wonder the bulls like those odds. Image: Carson Investment Research
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 1.7, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator looks stretched, a level that has historically been followed by an average -0.4% return in the S&P 500 over the following month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equity Positioning Equity positioning sits at the 53rd percentile, tipping into modest overweight territory while keeping dry powder for further upside. The backdrop remains supportive. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks Buyback announcements are surging across corporate America, signaling strong balance sheets and a growing appetite to deploy excess cash. That momentum is giving equities a boost and keeping sentiment firmly constructive. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth Wall Street’s 2026 playbook is working so far, with first-quarter S&P 500 earnings on track for their fastest growth in five years. At last, the market has the profit momentum to back the hype. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History The market’s appetite for growth is still running hot. The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq 100 are trading at 25 times forward earnings, while the S&P 500 sits closer to 21. Investors continue to lean into the momentum trade. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Returns for Major Global Financial Assets April was a standout month for the S&P 500, which surged 10.5%, even as U.S. Treasuries came under pressure amid rising inflation concerns and fading hopes for Fed rate cuts. Image: Deutsche Bank
Median Monthly Flow into Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs as a % of Total AUM Historically, May has been the month with the largest outflows from equity mutual funds and ETFs, hardly surprising given how frequently stocks lose momentum during the month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Backed by robust EPS growth forecasts, Goldman Sachs remains firmly bullish, targeting a 12% rise in the S&P 500 to 7,600 this year, though the ride is unlikely to be smooth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research