U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Three Fridays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.69%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Purchasing Power of the U.S. Dollar (Measured by Inflation): Invested vs. Uninvested Gold hasn’t lost its glow, but U.S. stocks have shone brighter since 1928. Look far enough ahead, and the edge moves to assets that build value, not just store it. Over time, innovation compounds more powerfully than preservation. Image: Real Investment Advice
Average Year for the S&P 500 the Past 20 Years Over the past two decades, March 12 has often marked the bottom for U.S. stocks, with rebounds taking shape soon after. History doesn’t always repeat itself, but investors know it tends to rhyme. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – MSCI U.S. vs. G10 Excess Liquidity (Leading Indicator) G10 excess liquidity, the gap between real money growth and economic growth, is climbing again as it returns to post‑pandemic highs and gives U.S. stocks fresh support. Image: Bloomberg
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With the Fear & Greed Index down at 19, markets have slipped back into extreme fear. Traders are on edge, some already slamming the panic button, a setup contrarian investors tend to watch closely. Image: Cable News Network
Forward P/E Ratio and Subsequent 5-Year Annualized Returns Elevated U.S. stock valuations point to a tougher road for returns over the coming five years. That’s the classic problem: great companies, but not always great prices. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
WTI Oil Prices in Real Terms The longer the oil shock lasts, the more it threatens to reshape the broader economy. For now, traders are betting on a short-lived spike, expecting that tensions will ease and prices will pull back. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Sentiment and Valuations Cracks are emerging as S&P 500 sentiment and valuation indicators are slipping from stretched territory, a move investors should keep an eye on. Markets rarely stay overheated for long. Image: Topdown Charts
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment With the index at 66.99, active managers are stepping back from U.S. equities, a retreat from recent peaks as a wave of caution moves through the market. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM members. Image:…
S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures puts the S&P 500 in oversold territory, raising the odds of a short-term bounce. Oversold conditions like this often lead to quick reversals. Image: MarketDesk Research
Interest Rates – Market Pricing for the Number of Fed Rate Cuts Will the Fed cut rates by just 25 basis points in 2026? That wouldn’t surprise anyone. Markets might wish for more, but for now, prudence still guides the central bank. Image: The Daily Shot