U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Last Monday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending the day up 0.50%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score With a reading of 75.39, the S&P 500 has consolidated. A bit of weakness wouldn’t shock anyone, but the broader tone still favors the bulls. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Returns When January Is Up Between 0-2% The bulls have history on their side: when the S&P 500 gains between 0% and 2% in January, the next 11 months have gone higher 92% of the time since 1950, posting a median gain of 13.6%. Image: Carson Investment Research
Different Market Sentiment Indicators Investors’ risk appetite is gaining ground, lifted by strong global equity inflows, and markets show no sign of losing steam. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Index U.S. factory activity jumped back to life in January, with the ISM Manufacturing Index hitting 52.6 and easily topping forecasts for 48.5. The chart shows the correlation between the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and the S&P 500 index year-over-year percent change, since 2011. Click the Image to Enlarge
Sectors Positioning (High Frequency) Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech has eased to neutral, while the rotation into cyclicals shows no sign of slowing. Broad positioning in cyclicals now sits modestly overweight. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning With systematic strategies holding firm in the 79th percentile and discretionary investors remaining cautious at the 49th percentile, the market setup leaves room for more upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Gold Price vs. S&P 500 Gold has recently surpassed $5,000 per ounce, but it still looks cheap next to a balanced 50/50 portfolio of U.S. stocks and Treasuries. Image: Bloomberg
Returns for Major Global Financial Assets Markets kicked off the year with solid gains in January, lifted by upbeat economic data that kept investors piling into risk assets. The S&P 500 briefly topped 7,000 for the first time, setting an optimistic tone for the months ahead. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. and Global Economic Surprises Global economic surprises have surged to a two‑year high, with the U.S. gaining momentum, a mix that usually bodes well for stocks and credit in the near term. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs still expects the S&P 500 to rise 12% this year, hitting 7,600 on the back of steady growth, resilient earnings, and a productivity boost from AI. But the path there is anything but guaranteed. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research