U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Two Mondays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell — and the S&P 500 delivered, closing up 1.56%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index Investors remain firmly in risk-on mode with the Greed and Fear Index sitting at 71.07—sentiment high and any dip here is more likely to be seen as an excuse to buy than a reason to sell. Image: Real Investment Advice
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits right at the 50th percentile — not bullish, not bearish, but potentially setting the stage for stocks to push higher. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At -0.2, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator is flashing mild caution — but past readings like this have more often marked the calm before an S&P 500 bounce in the coming month. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Insider Transactions Ratio With the Insider Transactions Ratio tilting slightly bearish, corporate insiders aren’t exactly rushing to buy. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction Margin debt is soaring to levels that make some investors uneasy, flirting with the “danger zone.” For now, momentum still points higher—but a reversal would be the real red flag. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Valuations are running hot. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remain well above historical norms, showing just how much faith investors have in the next leg of the earnings cycle, especially for tech and AI-driven leaders. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Equity positioning remains broadly neutral, with discretionary investors slightly increasing exposure but still underweight, while systematic strategies maintain a moderate overweight stance. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest in the S&P 500 remains elevated. Risk appetite is holding up, but investors are keeping their guard up—using shorts more as a hedge than a sign of fear. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII Sentiment Survey The modestly negative AAII bull‑bear spread isn’t euphoria—it’s hesitation. Markets have tended to bounce from that mood, not break down. Image: The Daily Chartbook
S&P 500 Price Target for 2025 and 2026 A friendlier Fed and resilient large caps have Goldman Sachs keeping faith in the bull run—targeting 6,800 on the S&P 500 by end-2025 and 7,200 by end-2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research