Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment A Fear & Greed Index reading of 75 indicates strong bullish sentiment and optimism but also warns that the U.S. stock market may be poised for a pullback or consolidation. Image: Cable News Network
Combined AAII & II Sentiment So far, the combined readings from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and Investors Intelligence (II) indicate a bullish outlook, reflecting optimism and confidence among market participants. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History The S&P 500’s forward P/E of about 22x suggests optimism; however, it also points to greater risk, since the market is increasingly sensitive to any earnings shortfalls or macroeconomic challenges ahead. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Consensus EPS Growth AI remains the dominant force behind S&P 500 earnings growth, with EPS projected to increase over the next three years, driven primarily by the Magnificent 7 and the broader technology sector. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 Dividend Yields vs. 10-Year Treasury Yields S&P 500 dividend yields are near historic lows, close to levels seen during the 2000 tech bubble, due to high valuations and companies favoring stock buybacks over dividends, challenging income-focused investors relying on dividends. Image: Deutsche Bank
Global Manufacturing PMI Leading indicators and supportive fiscal policies suggest potential upside risks to global manufacturing PMI in the near term. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Earnings Yield Minus U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The recent rally has made U.S. equities relatively expensive compared to bonds. Historically, when the risk premium has been at current levels, the S&P 500 has delivered an average 12-month return of only 2.5% over the past three decades. Image: Bloomberg
Bitcoin vs. Gold Market Capitalization If the trend toward digital financial assets continues and Bitcoin adoption expands, Bitcoin’s upside potential compared to gold is substantial—fueled by its fixed supply, digital utility, and strong growth trajectory. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. Household Net Worth as % of Disposal Personal Income In the U.S., the household net worth-to-income ratio is nearing historic highs, driven mainly by soaring stock and home values. Yet, wealth gains from the AI boom have largely favored the richest, intensifying the wealth gap. Image: Deutsche Bank
Average Percentile of Sentiment Indicators The post-Liberation Day environment reflects a strong rebound in investor confidence and a more bullish market stance, underpinned by easing tariff fears, trade deal progress, and supportive economic and technical factors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…