U.S. Core CPI and Headline Inflation Goldman Sachs projects U.S. core CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year by the end of 2025, factoring in tariffs, and expects it to gradually ease to 2.6% in 2026 despite ongoing inflationary pressures. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Small Cap Equity Positioning Small-cap equity positioning stands at the 46th percentile, leaving room for greater exposure. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Market Cap vs. Equal Weighted Returns The recent underperformance of the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index highlights how the market is currently concentrated in a few large growth stocks that drive returns in the market cap-weighted S&P 500. Image: Real Investment Advice
Buybacks – Announced Share Repurchases for S&P 500 Companies In 2025, U.S. companies plan record share buybacks, with repurchases projected to exceed $1 trillion—aimed at supporting stock prices, strengthening financial health, and boosting investor confidence. Image: J.P. Morgan
Average Cumulative S&P 500 Total Returns – Investing on Any Day vs. Investing at New High Despite widespread investor hesitation to buy at all-time highs, data suggest that doing so generally leads to better future returns compared to investing on random days. Image: Yahoo Finance
Equity Positioning and Earnings Growth Equity positioning aligns with S&P 500 Q2 2025 earnings growth and suggests further upside—if robust and resilient earnings continue and broaden across sectors. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Nasdaq 100 Futures Positioning By increasing their net long positions in Nasdaq 100 futures, leveraged funds and asset managers indicate optimism toward technology and growth stocks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance In August 2025, U.S. equity investors have become more risk-averse amid market valuation and macroeconomic concerns, but still retain some optimism about the prospect of central bank policy easing. Image: S&P Global Market Intelligence
Crypto Fund Flows Last week, crypto funds experienced substancial outflows, partly due to profit-taking. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Cross Asset Flows as a % of Assets Money market funds continue to attract strong investor interest, providing safe and profitable short-term opportunities in the current high-interest-rate environment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Alternating Higher and Lower Days in a Row Over seven days in August, the S&P 500’s alternating higher and lower closes signal a choppy trading environment, consistent with usual seasonal patterns amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. Image: Carson Investment Research