Category: Blog

UK Equities Flows UK equities continue to experience outflows. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Earnings – S&P 500 Trailing EPS vs. CPI Periods of high inflation can be harmful to earnings. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Returns When >10% at the End of June When the previous year is negative, a strong performance of the S&P 500 in the first half of the year typically results in a solid return in the second half. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 10 Years Looking at the past 10 years, the S&P 500 has been up in July 90% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research

Recession – Diffusion Index of Every Possible Yield Curve Inversion The increasing number of inverted yield curves is a negative sign, but does not necessarily mean that a recession is imminent. Image: Macrobond

S&P 500 Index and Forward 12-Month Earnings Per Share The S&P 500 Index always follows earnings. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Global Central Bank Rate Cuts vs. Hikes Since the beginning of the year, there have been more global rate hikes than global rate cuts. Image: BofA Global Credit Research

Global Real GDP Growth vs. Current Activity Indicator (CAI) Goldman Sachs forecasts global real GDP growth of 2.5% in 2023. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

VVIX to VIX Ratio The VVIX/VIX ratio continues to rise, suggesting a period of relative complacency. Image: The Daily Shot

ATA Truck Tonnage Index The drop in truck tonnage indicates a decrease in demand. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

S&P 500 Average Return the Day After a Down Day This year, the S&P 500 has gained 0.27% on average following a down day. Will U.S. stocks make a new all-time high before the end of the year? Image: Carson Investment Research