Category: Blog

U.S. GDP, Inflation and Unemployment – FOMC Economic Projections The Fed is forecasting an unemployment rate of 4.6% in 2023. Image: The Daily Shot

South Korea Exports vs. MSCI World EPS South Korea’s exports tend to lead global earnings. Image: J.P. Morgan

U.S. 10-Year Treasury – Returns +/- One Year Around Final Fed Hike Will U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fall in 2023, once the Fed stops raising rates? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee

Annual Global IG Returns Will global IG corporate bonds offer positive returns in 2023? Image: BofA Global Research

Measures of Broad-Based U.S. Inflation Does the Fed still have a long way to go to get inflation down? Image: Deutsche Bank

Sentiment – Consecutive Weeks of Negative Bull-Bear Spread Negative sentiment persists among investors. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Interest Rates and Credit Yields Will U.S. interest rates continue to rise in 2023? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Performance – U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. UST 10-Year vs. S&P 500 Price Relative Bonds tend to outperform stocks in a recessionary labor market. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets (Midterm Election Years Only) Historically, the Santa Claus rally tends to occur only in bull markets during midterm election years. Image: Topdown Charts

Difference Between the Dow and S&P 500 Annual Return Will the Dow continue to outperform the S&P 500 in 2023? Image: Carson Investment Research

U.S. Yield Curve Inversion and Market Drawdowns The U.S. stock market is expected to bottom out well after the 10Y-3M yield curve un-inverts. Image: Real Investment Advice