Category: Blog

Oil Prices in Euros Oil’s recent slide, fueled by rising OPEC output, is deepening bearish sentiment across energy markets and cooling the inflation pulse that guides monetary policy. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 and Stoxx600 – Q3 2025 Reporting Season Calendar About 16% of S&P 500 firms report earnings this week, but the real test comes next week, with roughly 44% set to deliver results—a pivotal moment that could set the tone for the rest of the season. Image: J.P. Morgan

S&P 500 and VIX Closes Down 25% from Intraday Peak Good news for bulls: big fear fades, stocks surge. Each time the VIX finished more than 25% off its intraday high, the S&P 500 was higher six and twelve months later—no exceptions. Since 1990, average one‑year gain: 15%. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Seasonality If history is any guide, the S&P 500 is heading into its seasonally strong window, with October through December typically delivering the market’s best performance of the year. Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth The median S&P 500 company EPS growth is expected to climb about 7% in Q4 2025, a sign of firmer earnings momentum and a more upbeat near‑term outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Weekly Change in Equity Positioning Equity positioning saw its sharpest weekly pullback since “Liberation Day” in April—a dip many traders were quick to buy. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets History favors the bulls: since 1950, only once has an S&P 500 bull market ended in its fourth year—history therefore favors further upside over a transition to bear market. Image: Carson Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge

Valuations – Market Values as a Proportion of World GDP Global equities have tripled their weight since the 1990s, jumping from 75% to above 200% of world GDP—an expansion that screams just how far valuations have run. Honestly, what could go wrong? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Corporate Profits After Tax and U.S. Real GDP In America, corporate profits aren’t just numbers; they’re the oxygen for investment, jobs, and market gains. With such a tight link to the real economy, weaker profits often signal a downshift in momentum. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Various Declines per Year Volatility is part of the market’s DNA; the real skill lies in how investors navigate the bumps to keep compounding. Image: Carson Investment Research

U.S. vs. Non-U.S. Equities Valuations vs. ROE Investors aren’t shy about paying a premium for U.S. stocks. The payoff? Superior returns on equity and earnings growth that few markets can match. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research