Discretionary Investors Equity Positioning vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Discretionary investors are bracing for a sharp slowdown in earnings growth that’s increasingly hard to square with the data. If that gloom lifts, risk appetite could snap back and drive equities higher. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Consumer Inflation Expectations U.S. households aren’t convinced the Fed has inflation under control. Expectations for the next year sit above the 2% goal, and longer-term views hover near 3%. Could easing too fast entrench higher inflation? Image: The Daily Chartbook
S&P 500 2026 Target Oppenheimer Asset Management expects the S&P 500 to surge 18% next year, lifting the index to 8,100 by end-2026 as solid growth, resilient earnings, and looser monetary policy keep the rally intact. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 2026 Price Target Major banks see the S&P 500 averaging 7,500 by the end of 2026, roughly 10% above current levels. Deutsche Bank is the most bullish, calling for 8,000 as earnings broaden beyond tech leaders and AI momentum holds. Image: Financial Times
S&P 500 vs. Bitcoin Bitcoin usually tracks risk assets like equities, but in 2025 it broke away from the U.S. stock rally, surprising traders who expected a lift from President Donald Trump’s pro‑crypto stance and growing institutional interest. Image: Bloomberg
ISM Composite Index vs. Recessions The economically weighted ISM composite paints a picture of moderation. Growth has cooled, not cracked. Image: Real Investment Advice
The Largest Cumulative Losses Before Young/Start-Up Companies Turned a Profit As OpenAI’s revenue rises, the question looms: can it reach profitability by 2029 while spending so heavily to fuel the AI race? Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Valuations: PE10 Ratio The PE10 ratio points to U.S. mid- and small-cap stocks as a valuation sweet spot and potentially poised for better future returns than large caps. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Treasury Index – Annual Return U.S. Treasuries are on track for their strongest annual performance since 2020, lifted by Fed rate cuts and a cooling labor market that is fueling bets on more monetary easing. Image: Bloomberg
Real S&P 500 Index The current market cycle still feels incomplete. After strong rallies, markets often retreat to test previous highs. That pullback, though painful, often clears the air and sets up the next move higher. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Returns in December During Year One of the Presidential Cycle U.S. stocks have finished December in the red during the first year of the presidential cycle just once in the past 40 years, a record strong enough to keep the bulls smiling with an average 1.9% gain. Image: Carson Investment Research