Category: Blog

U.S. Recession Probability Model The odds of a recession in the United States continue to rise. Image: BCA Research

U.S. Share Buybacks Will U.S. share buybacks in 2022 surpass last year’s pace? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Percent of Industry Groups Above 10-Week Average and S&P 500 Is the current rally in U.S. equities more than just a bear market bounce, as 99% of industry groups are above their 10-week average? Image: All Star Charts

Valuation – Russell Growth vs. Russell Value Relative Price to Book Value Should U.S. equity investors continue to favor value over growth stocks? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

More than 90% of S&P 500 Components Above their 50-Day Moving Average Historically, more than 90% of S&P 500 components above their 50-day moving average tend to be bullish for U.S. stocks over 3, 6 and 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research

Inflation – U.S. Headline CPI and Retail Gasoline Price Should U.S. equity investors remain bullish as there is a high correlation between U.S. headline CPI and retail gasoline prices? Image: BCA Research

Sentiment – 52-Week S&P 500 Forward Return and AAII Survey Bulls Minus Bears Historically, when investor sentiment is very bearish, there is often a bounce in the stock market. Image: Richardson Wealth

Inflation – Germany CPI YoY Has inflation in Germany peaked? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

S&P 500 Earnings Per Share and Recessions Is pessimism justified when it comes to S&P 500 earnings? Image: LPL Research

U.S. Household Equity Flows vs. S&P 500 Returns Historically, the S&P 500 tends to bottom only after large outflows from U.S. households. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee

S&P 500 Index Returns – 2022 is the Eight Worst Strat to a Year Ever on Day 150 Could the S&P 500 recover its losses and finish the year in the green? Image: Carson Investment Research