Category: Blog

S&P 500 Index Forward 12-Month EPS Growth and Fed Funds Rate Historically, Fed rate hikes tend to be a headwind to profits. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Valuation – 12-Month Forward P/E, MSCI AC World Could valuation decline further? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Composite of Leading Indicators and Recessions Does the LEI suggest a turning point in the U.S. economy? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Probability the U.S. Is in a Recession in Next 12 Months Including Today Is a recession in the United States inevitable? Image: The Wall Street Journal

Inflation – U.S. Headline CPI vs. U.S. Unemployment Rate Historically, U.S. inflation peaks before the unemployment rate bottoms. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Cumulative Returns Around Bear Market Bottoms Is the bear market bottom for the S&P 500 around 3,000? Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

Mortgage Rates – Bankrate 30-Year Mortgage Rate Historically, rising mortgage rates tend to cool the real estate market. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Cyclicals Earnings with Trend Are consensus earnings estimates far too optimistic? Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Median Forward EPS Drawdowns The risk to U.S. equities remains earnings, as an earnings recession is not priced in. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Size of S&P 500 10%+ Corrections It’s the 4th worst non-recessionary correction for the S&P 500 since World War II. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Performance During H1 in Total Returns Terms Will the S&P 500 recover in the second half of the year after a poor first half? Image: Deutsche Bank