Category: Blog

Inflation – S&P 500/WTI Could the United States face an energy crisis? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

EM Currencies vs U.S. Dollar – Market Breadth The bullish breadth divergence suggests a potential upside among EM currencies. Image: Topdown Charts

FMS Cash Balance and S&P 500 FMS cash levels jumped to 5.3% in February, which is contrarian bullish. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Median Sell-Off on Earnings Misses U.S. companies that missed their earnings estimates have been severely punished. Image: Deutsche Bank

Valuation – MSCI Europe 12-Month Forward P/E Valuation is back to pre-pandemic levels for European stocks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

FMS Investors – Net % Thinking Late-Cycle Are the conditions for a late cycle met? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Valuation – S&P 500 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio and 2-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Historically, rising rates tend to compress S&P 500 valuation multiples. Image: Alpine Macro

10-Year Government Bond Yield Will global 10-year government bond yields continue to rise? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Total Equity Flows Minus Bond Flows and U.S. 10-Year Yield Will the rotation in fund flows from bonds to equities continue? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Cash to Liabilities Ratio – Households, Corporations and Banks in the U.S. How much cash is still waiting to come back to the U.S. stock market? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Commodities – Commodity Index Recoveries Through Every Business Cycle This is the quickest recovery in commodities since 1914. Image: Deutsche Bank