U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve and Fed Funds Target Rate As the bond market has discounted the Fed’s hawkish policy stance, the U.S. yield curve may not flatten if growth remains resilient in 2022. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
GDP – U.S. Enacted Fiscal Measures Goldman Sachs expects U.S. GDP to grow by 3.5% this year and 2.2% in 2023. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Coronavirus – Global COVID-19 Cases, Vaccinations and Deaths Global COVID-19 cases are rising, driven by the Omicron variant. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Rolling 1-Month S&P 500 Return vs. Z-score of 1-Month Change in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields When U.S. Treasury yields increase too fast, the S&P 500 tends to struggle. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Monetary Policy – China vs. U.S. Homebuilders China and the United States are expected to diverge on monetary policy this year. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple and First Hike of Fed Tightening Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 forward P/E remains flat in the 6 months before and after the start of the first Fed hike. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Monthly Outperformance of NYFANG Over ACWI and ECB QE Total Is the shock of central bank tightening in Europe and Japan the most underappreciated risk this year? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Fiscal Impulses in the Euro Area The fiscal impulse in the euro area is expected to remain expansionary. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Stocks – China Credit Impulse and China Stock Prices Relative to EM (Leading Indicator) China credit impulse tends to lead Chinese stock prices relative to EM by one month. Image: Alpine Macro
Stocks – Performance of Select Investment Strategies Should investors favor high growth and high margin stocks in 2022? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average Gold Returns by Interest Rate Regime Generally, the price of gold tends to suffer with rising real yields. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research