Category: Blog

Market-Implied Odds of a U.S. Recession in the Next 12 Months Could a recession be coming in the United States? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Total Return – Reasons to Sell If you listen to the news, there is always a good reason not to be invested in the stock market. Image: Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC

U.S. GDP Impact of Oil Price Shock The oil price shock will have a significant impact on the U.S. GDP. Image: Oxford Economics

M2 – Money Supply vs. Monetary Velocity Is printing more money good for the U.S. economy? Despite strong M2 growth, money velocity has declined. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 12-Month Forward EPS and Chicago Business Barometer Will S&P 500 EPS growth decelerate sharply? Image: Alpine Macro

Rates Forecast BofA expects U.S. rates at 2.9% in 2023. Image: BofA Global Research

Probability of a U.S. Recession in Next 12 Months The probability of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months remains low. Image: Richardson Wealth

European Stocks – Stoxx 600 Should investors be bearish on European equities? Image: BofA Global Research

Real U.S. Average Hourly Earnings and Recessions Is a recession likely in the United States if real wage growth remains negative by summer? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Sentiment – Put/Call Ratio The put/call ratio remains high, signaling fear on the part of investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Russell 2000 Performance Relative to S&P 500 and ISM Manufacturing PMI Should investors expect a slowdown in U.S. economic activity? Image: Deutsche Bank