Category: Blog

Global GDP – OECD Forecasts OECD forecasts 4.2% global growth in 2021, as global economic outlook remains uncertain. Image: Financial Times

Annual CO2 Emissions The U.S. and Europe account for under one-third of CO2 emissions. Image: BofA Global Research

Equities – U.S. Large-Cap Stock Equal Weight/Market-Cap Weight Ratio Historically, when the equal-weighted index reverses and outperforms like today, it tends to be a good time to buy stocks. Image: Bloomberg

Government Bond Yield Forecast Morgan Stanley forecasts the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield at 1.45% by the end of 2021. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Valuation – Dividend Yield and U.S. 10-Year Yield The gap between dividend yields and bond yields is back to the levels last seen in the 1950s. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Prediction Market Probability that Democrats Have Control Following the 2020 U.S. Election The prediction market probability of the Democrats taking control of the Senate has increased to 32%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

World Small Caps/Large Caps and U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Will small-caps continue outperform large-caps? Image: Nordea and Macrobond

Inflation and Real Total Returns – S&P 500, 60/40 Portofolio and U.S. 10-Year Bonds Historically, equities have generated the highest annualized returns in periods when inflation is below 1% and rising. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Unemployment Rate Recoveries Since 1948 The U.S. unemployment rate recovery is following a path unlike any recession since 1948. Image: Nomura

MSCI World Index with China Exposure vs. MSCI World Index Investors have noticed that China emerged from recession months ago. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Weekly Flows into U.S. Funds Buying Inflation-Protected Securities Investors demand for inflation-protected securities is on the rise as economic optimism surges. Image: Financial Times