Category: Blog

U.S. Real GDP Forecast – Democratic Sweep vs. Republican Sweep This chart suggests what would Trump’s and Biden’s policies mean for U.S. real GDP. Image: Financial Times

U.S. Real GDP – Economic Booms and Buts U.S. real GDP booms at 33.1% rate in Q3 2020, one of the strongest on record. Image: CNBC

Global Money Supply and MSCI World Index Global equities are around 1 standard devation vs. global money supply. It could be bullish for stocks, as global money supply growth tends to push equities higher. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

U.S. Election and Contested Election Risk The market’s fear of a contested election is easing. Image: BofA

Performance – S&P 500 vs. Basket of 30 Equities Expected to Benefit from a Biden Win Biden longs outperformed in the equity market, as investors are betting on a potential Biden election victory. Image: BofA Global Research

Markets – Days with Equities Up at Least 3.5% and Treasury Yield Up The combination where equities drop at least 3.5%, Treasury yields are up and gold is down, is rare. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Equity Market Implications of Election Scenarios Chart suggesting the equity market implications of five possible U.S. election outcomes. Image: BofA Global Research

Dividends Yield on MSCI All Countries World Index (MSCI ACWI) Bye-bye dividends? Dividends have been hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic. Image: Financial Times

Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and EMU vs. U.S. Mobility EUR/USD could drop further, as lockdowns return to Europe. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

Returns on Global Equities and Bonds Will global equities continue to generate significant returns over the next decade? Image: Financial Times

S&P 500 3-Month Implied Volatility Change After U.S. Elections Volatility tends to decline after the U.S. elections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research