Net Positioning Among Asset Managers in Treasury Futures Contracts
Net Positioning Among Asset Managers in Treasury Futures Contracts Investors expect higher long-term bond yields as the economy improves in the future. Image: Financial Times
Category: Blog
S&P 500 Monthly Performance Based on U.S. 10-Year Rates Move Since 1998
S&P 500 Monthly Performance Based on U.S. 10-Year Rates Move Since 1998 Historically, large increases of real rates tend to weigh on equities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Election – Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden and the U.S. Economy
U.S. Election – Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden and the U.S. Economy Americans think that Donald Trump will be better for the U.S. economy if he is re-elected rather than if Joe Biden is elected. Image: BofA Global Research
Cumulative U.S. Equity Fund Flows Around U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2004
Cumulative U.S. Equity Fund Flows Around U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2004 Positive flows into U.S. equity funds could support a further rise in the S&P 500 after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
World Oil and Gas: Dividends per Share
World Oil and Gas: Dividends per Share The ongoing collapse of dividends is unprecedented. Image: BCA Research
U.S. Treasury Yield – 10Y-2Y vs. 30Y-10Y
U.S. Treasury Yield – 10Y-2Y vs. 30Y-10Y Morgan Stanley forecasts the 10-year Treasury yield at about 1% by the end of the year. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 Key Support at the 200-Day Moving Average
S&P 500 Key Support at the 200-Day Moving Average According to Morgan Stanley, the correction that began in September is likely not complete. Morgan Stanley sees the 200-day moving average as a strong support. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Labor Market – Initial Jobless Claims
U.S. Labor Market – Initial Jobless Claims The four-week moving average of jobless claims ticked higher, suggesting that the road to recovery is a long journey. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Party Composition of U.S. General Elections Since 1900
Party Composition of U.S. General Elections Since 1900 Since 1900, the U.S. general elections have seen 12 blue waves and 10 red waves, but 8 times there has been a split result. Image: BofA
Currency Markets and U.S. Elections
Currency Markets and U.S. Elections FX markets are pricing in a Biden presidency and a blue sweep as well. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
2020 Retail Sales in the U.S. and Euro Area
2020 Retail Sales in the U.S. and Euro Area This chart shows a sweet V-shaped recovery in U.S. and EU retail sales. Image: BofA Global Research