Category: Blog

Small Cap Stocks – Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 and 10Y-2Y Treasury Yield Curve Will small-caps outperform large-caps? Image: Alpine Macro

S&P 500 Performance After U.S. Election Years If the President is re-elected, the S&P 500 tends to do much better the year after the election. Image: LPL Research

S&P 500 – Bullish Head and Shoulders If supports hold, the S&P 500 could have bullish breakouts with upside potential to 3588 and then 3640. Image: BofA Global Research

Global Equity Fund Flows and U.S. Elections Historically, global equity fund flows have improved after U.S. elections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Net Positioning Among Asset Managers in Treasury Futures Contracts Investors expect higher long-term bond yields as the economy improves in the future. Image: Financial Times

U.S. Election – Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden and the U.S. Economy Americans think that Donald Trump will be better for the U.S. economy if he is re-elected rather than if Joe Biden is elected. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Monthly Performance Based on U.S. 10-Year Rates Move Since 1998 Historically, large increases of real rates tend to weigh on equities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Cumulative U.S. Equity Fund Flows Around U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2004 Positive flows into U.S. equity funds could support a further rise in the S&P 500 after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

World Oil and Gas: Dividends per Share The ongoing collapse of dividends is unprecedented. Image: BCA Research

U.S. Treasury Yield – 10Y-2Y vs. 30Y-10Y Morgan Stanley forecasts the 10-year Treasury yield at about 1% by the end of the year. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

S&P 500 Key Support at the 200-Day Moving Average According to Morgan Stanley, the correction that began in September is likely not complete. Morgan Stanley sees the 200-day moving average as a strong support. Image: Morgan Stanley Research