Category: Blog

U.S. Dollar Index The U.S. dollar is on the verge of its worst month since 2010. Image: Financial Times

Valuation – Nasdaq 100 vs. S&P 500 Ratio The ratio of the Nasdaq 100 to the S&P 500 has only been higher in 2000, during the dotcom bubble. Image: U.S. Global Investors

The U.S. Dollar’s Dominant Role as a Medium of Exchange The U.S. dollar is the world currency. But is its international role changing? Image: Deutsche Bank

China’s Fiscal Stimulus China’s fiscal stimulus is essential to revive the economy, but will it be enough? Image: Alpine Macro

Bull Markets – Gold and Tech Trees don’t grow to the sky, but so far, gold and tech are darlings of the market. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Seasonality – Median S&P 500 2-Month Returns since 1985 Since 1985, August and September have been the two worst months of the year for the S&P 500. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

G10/USD Average August Performance Since 2010 Since 2010, G10 risk-on currencies tend to weaken in August. Image: Deutsche Bank

Estimated Share of Renter Households Facing a Rental Shortfall and Potential Eviction More than 40% of U.S. renters are at risk of eviction, as the Federal eviction moratorium has expired. Image: Statista

Top 5 vs. S&P 500 ex-Top 5 – YoY Contribution of EPS and P/E to Returns The performance gap could widen further, as the top 5 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are superior on almost every financial metric (revenue, profit growth, margin structure, volatility and corporate leverage). Image: Credit Suisse Research

U.S. Online Brokers Retail Trades and Individual Investors The move to zero commissions and the lockdowns boosted individual investor trades. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Debt-to-GDP vs. U.S. Treasury 10-Year Rate Low U.S. interest rates also make public debt less costly. Image: Piper Sandler