Category: Blog

Share of the U.S. Population Holding Stocks U.S. stock ownership has not fully rebounded since the financial crisis. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

Probability of Recession in the U.S. Chart suggesting the probability of recession in the U.S. over the 12 next months, based on various metrics. Image: J.P. Morgan

Global GDP Growth in Pandemic Scenarios This chart suggests world GDP growth in the event of a global pandemic. Image: Oxford Economics

Private Non-Financial Debt Service Ratios Relative To Income Lower interest rates make debt more sustainable. What matters is the debt service cost.

Share of Global Annual CO2 Emissions To achieve the global warming target in the Paris Agreement, net zero emissions should be reached by 2050. Image: Financial Times

Bubbles – Bitcoin, Nasdaq, Gold, U.S. Housing, Commodities, Nikkei Detecting and measuring asset bubbles is not an easy task. This chart puts things into perspective. Image: J.P. Morgan

S&P 500 Price Returns Relative to Onset of Next U.S. Recession The performance of the S&P 500 has generally been positive until six months prior to a recession. Image: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg

Wicksell Spread and S&P 500 12-Month EPS Growth (Leading Indicator) This chart suggests that the Wicksell spread tends to lead the S&P 500 12-Month EPS growth by 3 months. Image: Pictet Asset Management

U.S. and Europe: Value vs. Growth Price to Book Ratio Valuations for growth vs. value are back near the levels that preceded 2000-01, but the trend is still intact for the time being. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns Over the past 20 years, March and April have been the two strongest months. Image: LPL Research

Share of Household Equities and Mutual Funds Owned by the Bottom 90% Chart showing that share of household equities and mutual funds owned by the bottom 90% has been counter-cyclical. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research