Category: Blog

Demographics – World Population since 1400 The United Nations predict that the world’s population will increase from 7.7 billion currently to 9.7 billion in 2050. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 and Back-to-Back Losses This is one of the longest streaks ever for the S&P 500 without back-to-back losses since 1955. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC

S&P 500 January-January Price % Changes during Years Associated with Chinese Lunar New Years since 1900 2020 is the year of the rat by the Chinese lunar calendar. This chart shows S&P 500 returns during each of the Chinese lunar years. Image: CFRA, S&P Global

Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality Back to 1928 The monthly seasonality of the S&P 500 could suggest a pause in February. Image: BofA Global Research

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index and Recessions This indicator provides an update on U.S. financial conditions in money markets, debt, equity markets and the traditional & “shadow” banking systems. If financial conditions tighten sharply, this suggests a coming slowdown or recession.

Volatility – Number of S&P 500 Companies Reporting Daily vs. Average Performance Dispersion As the number of earnings results increases, the higher the volatility of stock. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield and Viral Outbreaks This chart shows that the impact of previous viral outbreaks (SARS, H1N1, H7N9, Ebola) on U.S. bonds was short-lived. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

China Share of Global GDP China share of global GDP is bigger today than it was during the SARS epidemic in 2003. Image: Danske Bank Research

U.S. Sources of Federal Tax Revenue since 1940 This chart puts into perspective the U.S. sources of federal tax revenue since 1940. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

Fed Rate Cut – Overnight Indexed Swaps (OIS) Strip for FOMC Meetings over the Next 12 Months Traders see one more Fed interest rate cut this year. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Total Return: % Positive Chart suggesting that increasing the holding period increases the likelihood of success. Image: Compound Capital Advisors, LLC