Leading Economic Index (LEI) and Fed Funds Rate
Leading Economic Index (LEI) and Fed Funds Rate Will the Fed’s three rate cuts be enough to lift the U.S. economy? Image: Oxford Economics
Category: Blog
Effect of the Trade War on China Real GDP Growth
Effect of the Trade War on China Real GDP Growth The trade war drag on China real GDP growth is expected to peak in Q4 2019. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
The Largest Industry Weighting of the Top Six Stocks in the S&P 500
The Largest Industry Weighting of the Top Six Stocks in the S&P 500 The six FAANMG stocks account for 17.51% of the S&P 500. Are we seeing another tech bubble? Image: Bianco Research
Rotation vs. U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts
Rotation vs. U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts Chart suggesting that the rotation out of bonds into equities, out of growth into cyclicals, out of large caps into small caps, and out of gold into copper, is expected to continue in 2020. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Dollar and Euro – EUR/USD Forecast
U.S. Dollar and Euro – EUR/USD Forecast Investment banks expect the dollar to weaken against the euro in 2020. Image: Financial Times
Major Central Bank Balance Sheets and Emerging Market Equities
Major Central Bank Balance Sheets and Emerging Market Equities Chart suggesting that the growth in G3 central bank balance sheets is positive for emerging market equities. Image: Oxford Economics
Number of Countries in Each Cycle Stage
Number of Countries in Each Cycle Stage Chart suggesting that the global synchronised slowdown is over. According to the OECD leading indicators, the number of countries in recovery is rising. Image: TS Lombard
U.S. Stock Market Breadth
U.S. Stock Market Breadth The US stock market breadth is improving and continues to drive stocks higher. Image: Fidelity Investments
MSCI Europe Relative to S&P 500
MSCI Europe Relative to S&P 500 The relative range between the MSCI Europe Index and the S&P 500 has been broken since the European financial crisis. Since 2011, European equities have underperformed the U.S. at a -5.5% annual rate. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Valuation – The Largest Stock in the S&P 500
Valuation – The Largest Stock in the S&P 500 At current level, Apple is the largest publicly traded U.S. stock. Image: Bianco Research
What Happens The Year After The S&P 500 Gains More Than 30% (Total Return)
What Happens The Year After The S&P 500 Gains More Than 30% (Total Return) Historically, the chart shows that the following year has been higher 10 of 12 times and the average return is 15.2%. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC