Sentiment on Durable Goods Purchases Lead the Unemployment Rate This chart suggests that sentiment on durable goods purchases lead the unemployment rate by 12 months, and that the U.S. economy seems to be moving into the late phase of its business cycle. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. Employment Outlook The outlook of U.S. employment continues to improve. In Q4 2019, 22% of U.S. employers plan to add to payrolls, 5% expect a decrease and 72% expect no change. Image: ManpowerGroup
U.S. Total Home Sales This year, lower mortgage rates could boost U.S. home sales in the fourth quarter. Image: Leonard Kiefer
World – Digital Competitiveness Rankings The United States is ranked as the world’s most digitally competitive economy. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Markit Manufacturing PMI vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.8 (contraction) in September, while the Markit Manufacturing PMI improved to 51.1 (expansion). Image: Renaissance Macro
China as a Percent of Global GDP China is the world’s second largest economy, contributing 15.86% to global GDP in 2018. The United States remains the world’s largest economy, contributing 23.9% to global GDP. Image: Bloomberg, Michael McDonough
Fund Flows into Emerging Markets Stocks and Bonds The rotation into bonds and out of equities continues. Image: HSBC
World’s Central Banks Are Cutting Rates World’s central banks are lowering interest rates, in order to boost money supply in the economy and stimulate economic growth. Image: Charles Schwab
Stages of the Business Cycle as of August 31, 2019 This chart suggests that most major economies are in the late phase of the business cycle. Image: Fidelity Investments
Annual S&P 500 Return Since 1990 Currently, the S&P 500 Index has its best year since 1997. Image: Financial Times
ISM Composite PMI vs. Crude Oil Interesting chart showing that the correlation between the ISM Composite PMI and crude oil is up to 75% since 2015. Image: Lohman Econometrics