Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession

At just 12%, market-implied recession odds for the next year remain below their long-term average, leaving a supportive backdrop for risk assets.

Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession