Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&P 500 Index The net difference between bulls and bears reflects the overall sentiment and suggests a temporary pullback within a bullish market trend. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Return During May Should long-term investors ignore the old adage “sell in May and go away?” Image: Carson Investment Research
Secular Bull Market – S&P 500 Weekly Chart with the 40-Week MA and 200-Week MA As part of a catch-up trade within a secular bull market presidential cycle, there is a possibility that the S&P…
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets The sell-in-May effect may be more relevant in bear markets. In bull markets, it may be seen as a missed opportunity for potential gains, given the…
Cumulative Global Sector Fund Flows The tech sector has experienced significant inflows over the past year, driven by investors’ strong enthusiasm and confidence in tech companies. How long this trend will continue remains uncertain. Image:…
IG Bond Flows While there has been a slowdown in inflows to corporate bond funds, the overall trend still shows positive inflows, indicating a resilient appetite for corporate debt. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities The probability of recession stands at 1.48%. When this recession indicator exceeds 5% (red line), history suggests that the probability of recession increases significantly. The chart shows the smoothed U.S. recession…
COMEX Copper Price The bullish outlook on copper among traders and investors is driven by the increasing demand for copper in the green energy transition and AI projects. Image: The Daily Shot
Volatilty – VIX Level The expectation of 47% of JPM customers for the VIX to average 18 over the rest of Q2 suggests a significant level of anticipated market volatility during that period. Image: J.P.…
1-Day Post-Reporting Performance vs. S&P 500 on EPS and Sales Surprise S&P 500 companies that reported weaker-than-expected earnings per share got punished much more than usual, reflecting the disappointment and concern among investors. Image: BofA…