U.S. Initial Unemployment Claims and U.S. GDP

U.S. Initial Unemployment Claims and U.S. GDP There is a pretty good correlation between U.S. initial unemployment claims and U.S. GDP. Initial unemployment claims could suggest an acceleration of U.S. GDP in Q3 2019. Click on the Image to Enlarge

World Population in 2018

World Population in 2018 Interesting world map: the country’s size represents the size of the population. You may also like “World Population & Demographics – More People Over 65 than Under 5 for the First Time.” Image: Our World in Data Click the Image to Enlarge

Industrial Search Trends Looking Optimistic

Industrial Search Trends Looking Optimistic This chart shows the rise in search interest in the U.S.. That’s good news after a fall in 2018, because industrial search trends tend to lead realized growth by a decent margin. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Gold Reserves Around the World

Gold Reserves Around the World The U.S. has the world’s largest gold reserves, followed by Germany, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and France. Image: howmuch.net Click the Image to Enlarge

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Since 1896

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Since 1896 If you listen to the news, there is always a good reason not to be invested in the stock market. You may also like “The Stock Market Continues to Climb the Wall of Worry.” Image: virtueofselfishinvesting.com   Click the Image to Enlarge  

How Many People Are There in the World in 2019?

How Many People Are There in the World in 2019? The world population was estimated to have reached 7.7 billion people as of April 2019. Image: Visual Capitalist Click the Image to Enlarge

More than 200 Years of US Interest Rates in One Chart

More than 200 Years of U.S. Interest Rates in One Chart This long term chart covers more than two centuries of US interest rates (yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge

Why a Low or Negative Equity Risk Premium Coincides with a Temporary Market Peak?

Why a Low or Negative Equity Risk Premium Coincides with a Temporary Market Peak? Because it pushes investors into bonds rather than equities. This was the case in 1973, 1981, 2000, 2007 and 2018 before the market crash. The current equity risk premium is available to our subscribers. Our equity risk premium model has a great 97% correlation with…

Why the Stock Market Valuation Matters Before a Recession?

Why the Stock Market Valuation Matters Before a Recession? When the stock market is VERY overvalued before a recession, it tends to be VERY undervalued. Like the swing of a pendulum, or the stretching of a rubber band, sooner or later it comes back very violently. This happened in 1973, 2000 and 2008. The US…