Fed Balance Sheet

Fed Balance Sheet The ongoing reduction of the Fed’s balance sheet is expected to reduce bank reserves. This reduction may lead to higher inflation, increased real yields, and a steeper yield curve. Image: TS Lombard

U.S. Money Market Fund Assets

U.S. Money Market Fund Assets U.S. money market fund assets hit a new all-time high of $8.2 tn, reflecting a continued trend of investors seeking safety and yield. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Bonds Flows

Bonds Flows Since January 2024, there has been a notable trend of strong inflows into bond ETFs, particularly high-yield bonds, driven by favorable yield conditions and an overall “risk-on” sentiment in the market. Image: J.P. Morgan

Flows into Money Market Funds

Flows into Money Market Funds Investor interest in U.S. government money market funds continues to be strong, driven by their current attractive yields, high level of safety and liquidity. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen (USD/JPY)

U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) When yields on U.S. Treasury bonds are higher than those on Japanese government bonds, it can lead to a weakening of the Japanese yen relative to the U.S. dollar. Image: BCA Research

FMS Investors – Net % Expecting Lower Long-Term Rates

FMS Investors – Net % Expecting Lower Long-Term Rates Only 38% of FMS investors expect bond yields to decrease, while the majority anticipate stable or potentially higher bond yields. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Importance of Macro Driver in Explaining Returns

Importance of Macro Driver in Explaining Returns Higher real 10-year UST yields can potentially lead to a decrease in U.S. stock returns, but other factors should also be considered. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth vs. S&P 500 YoY

S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth vs. S&P 500 YoY With yields no longer supporting high valuations, earnings growth is expected to be the main factor driving U.S. equity returns in the near future. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

IG and HY Bond Fund Flows

IG and HY Bond Fund Flows It is common for investors to prefer investment-grade (IG) bonds over high-yield (HY) bonds when seeking lower-risk investments. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

S&P 500 Dividend Payout Ratio

S&P 500 Dividend Payout Ratio Despite a high dividend payout ratio, the S&P 500 dividend yield is near historic lows at 1.3%. Image: Scotiabank GBM Portfolio Strategy