Fear & Greed Index vs. S&P 500 Index

Fear & Greed Index vs. S&P 500 Index This chart shows how optimism stays unusually low. Is this alarming for bears? Image: Cable News Network

Investing Like Sheep (w/ Jeff Gundlach) | Future Fears

Investing Like Sheep (w/ Jeff Gundlach) | Future Fears “People want to be told what to think. I don’t! People need to listen with the mind as well as their ears, and not just repeat what they heard.” – Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLf9tGq2Vv4

Forward S&P 500 Returns After Prior Breakouts to New Highs Beat the Average Day

Forward S&P 500 Returns After Prior Breakouts to New Highs Beat the Average Day Over the past ten years, when the S&P 500 has broken to a new high after at least two months without one, the 12‑month forward return has averaged 16.4%. Fear, in this case, has been a poor strategist. Image: Real Investment…

Probability of U.S. Recession

Probability of U.S. Recession The one-year U.S. recession probability implied by the S&P 500 and BBB spread has eased, pointing to a more constructive market tone as fears of near-term economic stress fade. Image: J.P. Morgan

S&P 500 Returns Following Major Geopolitical Events

S&P 500 Returns Following Major Geopolitical Events History shows the same script in over 20 major events since WWII: markets snap back quicker than feared, and those who hold their nerve often win. Panic usually hurts more than the shock itself. Image: Real Investment Advice

Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally

Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally Non‑bank global investors are rotating out of stocks and bonds and into cash as the Middle East conflict‑related energy shock raises inflation fears and the risk of higher interest rates. Image: J.P. Morgan

Real S&P 500 Index vs. Conflicts

Real S&P 500 Index vs. Conflicts Markets are quick to price in fear. The S&P 500 usually dips when conflict erupts, but it often manages to recover its losses as long as demand and earnings remain strong. Short-term fear rarely changes the long-term story. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Equities and Wars

U.S. Equities and Wars Some major geopolitical events have knocked U.S. stocks down 15% or more before. Is this time different? For now, markets look like they’re pricing in hope, not fear. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond