Fear & Greed Index vs. S&P 500 Index
Fear & Greed Index vs. S&P 500 Index This chart shows how optimism stays unusually low. Is this alarming for bears? Image: Cable News Network
Fear & Greed Index vs. S&P 500 Index This chart shows how optimism stays unusually low. Is this alarming for bears? Image: Cable News Network
S&P 500 Futures – Massive Pre-market Fear Since 1982 Since 1982, there have been two time periods of this massive pre-market fear: in 2002 and 2008, during the bear market. Image: Sentimentrader
As China Trade Fears Intensified, Big U.S. Companies Tightened Spending A drop in capital spending in S&P 500 companies is a bad sign for the U.S. economy. Image: The Wall Street Journal
Investing Like Sheep (w/ Jeff Gundlach) | Future Fears “People want to be told what to think. I don’t! People need to listen with the mind as well as their ears, and not just repeat what they heard.” – Jeffrey Gundlach, founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLf9tGq2Vv4
Thomas Russo: “Global Value Investing: Factors that I Most Fear and […]” Investing guru Thomas Russo speaks about global value investing and his long-term buy-and-hold strategy.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzEvI1HOwN8
Forward S&P 500 Returns After Prior Breakouts to New Highs Beat the Average Day Over the past ten years, when the S&P 500 has broken to a new high after at least two months without one, the 12‑month forward return has averaged 16.4%. Fear, in this case, has been a poor strategist. Image: Real Investment…
Probability of U.S. Recession The one-year U.S. recession probability implied by the S&P 500 and BBB spread has eased, pointing to a more constructive market tone as fears of near-term economic stress fade. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Returns Following Major Geopolitical Events History shows the same script in over 20 major events since WWII: markets snap back quicker than feared, and those who hold their nerve often win. Panic usually hurts more than the shock itself. Image: Real Investment Advice
Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally Non‑bank global investors are rotating out of stocks and bonds and into cash as the Middle East conflict‑related energy shock raises inflation fears and the risk of higher interest rates. Image: J.P. Morgan
Real S&P 500 Index vs. Conflicts Markets are quick to price in fear. The S&P 500 usually dips when conflict erupts, but it often manages to recover its losses as long as demand and earnings remain strong. Short-term fear rarely changes the long-term story. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Equities and Wars Some major geopolitical events have knocked U.S. stocks down 15% or more before. Is this time different? For now, markets look like they’re pricing in hope, not fear. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond