Weekly AAII Investor Sentiment Survey
Weekly AAII Investor Sentiment Survey Bulls push above bears, but when doubt and fear are still present, it does not usually look like a major market top. Image: Reuters
U.S. Total Nonfarm Payrolls and Recessions
U.S. Total Nonfarm Payrolls and Recessions Total nonfarm payrolls increased 224K in June, well above expectations, which should calm fears of a near-term recession. The job market is still strong, even if there are signs it is slowing down. Actually, nonfarm payroll growth tends to decline before a recession. You may also like “What Is…
Investors Preference for U.S. Bond Funds
Investors Preference for U.S. Bond Funds Investors rush back into U.S. Treasury ETFs as trade and growth fears rise. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Margin Debt and S&P 500
Margin Debt and S&P 500 This chart shows that margin debt has not recovered from last December’s lows, while the stock market has risen sharply.Usually, it is mostly bullish for stocks, because investors are still fearful. Image: Yardeni Research, Inc.
10-Year Bund Yield and Manufacturing PMI
10-Year German Bund Yield and German Manufacturing PMI The 10-year German Bund yield could go positive again as recession fears dissipate. Image: Pictet Wealth Management
“You Need to Divorce your Mind from the Crowd…” –Warren Buffett
“You Need to Divorce your Mind from the Crowd…” –Warren Buffett Quote of the day: “You need to divorce your mind from the crowd. The herd mentality causes all these IQ’s to become paralyzed. I don’t think investors are now acting more intelligently, despite the intelligence. Smart doesn’t always equal rational. To be a successful…
Financial Crisis Survival Lessons: Beats Market & Peers Since Bottom (Ariel Fund)
Financial Crisis Survival Lessons: Beats Market & Peers Since Bottom (Ariel Fund) Charles Bobrinskoy at Ariel Investments, has a patient and long-term value approach. He says: “the best time to buy is when people are panicking and scared. You have to be greedy when others are fearful. This is very hard to do, but this…
Should Investors Trust Markets or Economic Data?
Should Investors Trust Markets or Economic Data? Nancy Tengler, Butcher Joseph Chief Investment Strategist, and Brian Levitt, Oppenheimer senior investment strategist, discuss the economic data. They are mixed, but that’s good news. Equities are going higher and investors should have FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).
Stock Market Short-Term Forecast
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-short-term-forecast.mp4 This great tool shows the US stock market forecast for the next 12 months and the probability This advanced mathematical model extracts insights from multiple financial data and suggests a stock market short-term forecast for the next 12 months with a very high degree of confidence. This great prediction model is updated daily. It…