Professional Forecasters Probability of Recession
Professional Forecasters Probability of Recession U.S. recession fears among professional forecasters remain elevated. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Professional Forecasters Probability of Recession U.S. recession fears among professional forecasters remain elevated. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After First 1% Decline After More Than Two Months Without One Why U.S. equity investors should not fear the first 1% drop following more than two months without one? Because the S&P 500 has gained 14.8% on average one year later since 1980. Image: Carson Investment Research
U.S. Labor Market – Initial Claims The jump in U.S. jobless claims is raising fears of a potential recession. Image: J.P. Morgan
Spread Between BBB-Rated Corporate Bond Yield and 90-Day U.S. Treasury Bill Yield As Warren Buffett once said, “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Utilities Flows Will inflows into utilities remain strong among recession fears? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Percentage of Time the U.S. Is in Recession Will the U.S. stock market rise in the 12 months following midterm elections, despite fears of a recession? Image: Deutsche Bank
Asia Dollar Index Could Asian currencies continue to weaken, as global recession fears mount? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Proportion of Russell 3000 Firms Mentioning “Recession” during Quarterly Earnings Calls Recession fears are growing among U.S. firms. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Crude Oil WTI Will oil prices continue to fall as recession fears mount? Image: The Daily Shot
Median Change in Consensus FY0 EPS Estimates and NTM P/E Around the Start of Recessions Should equity investors expect earnings to fall, as recession fears mount? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research