Gold Price Seasonality
Gold Price Seasonality June has been a challenging month for gold investors over the past five decades, delivering the lowest hit rate and the second-worst overall performance. Image: Topdown Charts
Gold Price Seasonality June has been a challenging month for gold investors over the past five decades, delivering the lowest hit rate and the second-worst overall performance. Image: Topdown Charts
Impact of Higher Tariffs on the U.S. Core PCE Price Index The coming inflation rebound is expected be limited in scope and duration, meaning it is unlikely to trigger the kind of persistent inflation psychology that can drive a sustained wage-price spiral. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Target Goldman Sachs has raised its S&P 500 target to 5,900 over the next three months, citing lower tariff rates and reduced recession risks following a significant easing in U.S.-China trade tensions. Image: Bloomberg
Brent Crude Oil Price Forecast Goldman Sachs projects that Brent crude oil prices will average $66 per barrel in the second half of 2025, with a subsequent decline to an annual average of $56 per barrel in 2026, as a result of rising global supply from OPEC+. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Price of Gold While gold remains in a long-term bull market, short-term pullbacks are normal following strong advances-especially as factors driving safe-haven demand begin to fade. Image: The Daily Shot
Probability of U.S. Recession As Priced Across Asset Classes The S&P 500 is pricing in about a 25% chance of a recession, which is lower than signals from copper prices or the yield curve, but higher than the recession probabilities implied by global equities or high-yield credit markets. Analysts often use the current percentage change…
Bitcoin Price Bitcoin is approaching $100,000, marking a strong recovery after its February 2025 peak. The rally is driven by robust inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, renewed risk appetite among investors, and positive sentiment in global markets. Image: Bloomberg
Gold vs. 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Gold is increasingly being positioned as an alternative to U.S. Treasury bonds. Image: Deutsche Bank
Valuation – Shiller Cyclically Adjusted Price/Earnings Ratio Higher inflation and lower corporate profitability structurally undermine the sustainability of U.S. equity valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Targets The recent historic rally in U.S. stocks, driven by President Trump’s 90-day tariff reprieve, masks underlying challenges that suggest the 2025 market highs may already be in the rearview mirror. Image: Real Investment Advice
Conference Board 1-Year Expectation Stock Prices Increase vs. S&P 500 The Conference Board’s latest Consumer Confidence survey reveals the sharpest two-month drop in stock market expectations—a level of pessimism that historically signals a contrarian buying opportunity. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC