U.S. Yield Curve Leads Corporate Profits

U.S. Yield Curve Leads Corporate Profits This chart suggests that the U.S. 10-year less 3-month yield curve leads corporate profits by two years. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. Nonfinancial Corporate Profits

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. Nonfinancial Corporate Profits Creative accounting is imaginative ways to present accounts. The divergences between earnings and U.S. nonfinancial corporate profits occur before recessions. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Cumulative Change in Real S&P 500 and Real Profits

Cumulative Change in Real S&P 500 and Real Profits The widening gap between the real S&P 500 index and real corporate profits is raising red flags about a potential stock market bubble. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 EPS Estimates ex-Tech and Communications

S&P 500 EPS Estimates ex-Tech and Communications The S&P 500’s earnings growth is heavily dependent on the technology sector, highlighting the crucial role that tech companies play in driving overall corporate profits in the United States. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 TTM YoY EPS vs. Fed Funds Target

S&P 500 TTM YoY EPS vs. Fed Funds Target Traditionally, when the Fed starts cutting interest rates, corporate profits tend to decelerate. However, this’s not the case today, highlighting the unique economic landscape we face. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

What’s The Risk Of An Earnings Recession in 2019? Maybe Less Than You May Think

What’s The Risk Of An Earnings Recession in 2019? Maybe Less Than You May Think US-China trade uncertainty is the enemy of growth, and the impact of tariffs will weigh on corporate profits. But it looks like we’ll avert an earnings recession in 2019 if a trade deal with China is reached this summer. Image:…