Credit Spreads and U.S. Labor Market
Credit Spreads and U.S. Labor Market Despite the Fed’s support, credit spreads remain above their pre-COVID-19 levels and may be taking a cue from the U.S. labor market. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Credit Spreads and U.S. Labor Market Despite the Fed’s support, credit spreads remain above their pre-COVID-19 levels and may be taking a cue from the U.S. labor market. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Labor Market – Number of Jobs Lost U.S. workers face permanent job losses as the coronavirus pandemic persists. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Labor Market – Initial and Continued Claims U.S. unemployment claims remain historically high, as recovery in U.S. labor market slows Image: BofA
KC Fed Labor Market Conditions Index and Recessions The KC Fed Labor Market Conditions Index is positive. Labor market conditions remain above their long-run average. Historically, a negative value is a necessary, but not sufficient requirement for recessions: it means that labor market conditions are below their long-run average.
U.S. Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart The U.S. labor market distributions spider chart shows broad labor market developments. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
U.S. Labor Market Recovery Chart suggesting that the U.S. labor market recovery is stalling. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 vs. U.S. Labor Market This chart highlights the wide divergence between the S&P 500 and the U.S. labor market. Image: Hondo Tomasz
U.S. Labor Market Chart suggesting that the U.S. labor market is still strong and healthy. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy
U.S. Labor Market: Jobs Gains and Jobless Claims The U.S. labor market is slowing, but historically, recessions have been preceded by a slowing in job gains and a pickup in jobless claims. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth The slowdown in the labor force in the U.S., China, Europe and Japan, represents 62% of the world’s GDP and 69% of the equity market capitalization. The labor force growth is expected to be -1% by 2055. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Core CPI Inflation U.S. inflation is moderating, aided by a slowing economy and a weaker labor market. However, the full impact of tariffs is expected to materialize in the coming months, potentially reversing the current disinflationary trend. Image: TS Lombard