Infrastructure Flows Infrastructure funds have seen their largest inflow since June 2022, signaling a positive trend for investors aiming for long-term returns and portfolio diversification. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Personal Saving Rate and U.S. Household The U.S. personal saving rate remains well below its long-term average, reflecting a trend of decreased savings and raising concerns about individuals’ financial security. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
U.S. Budget Deficit as a % of GDP The trend of elevated deficits and increasing debt can have potential long-term implications for the U.S. economy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Market – Hang Seng Index The Hang Seng Index broke its long-term uptrend, which is not good news. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Real Interest Rates Since 1314 Since 1314, real interest rates have been on a long-term downward trend. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Projecting the Bull and Bear Market If a US-China trade deal is reached, this chart suggests a rally to the long-term bullish trend line at 3300. Image: Real Investment Advice
Does U.S. Productivity Increase Under President Trump? The answer is yes, because businesses have invested. Even if Net Domestic Investment to GDP is in a long-term downtrend, that’s good news for the U.S. economy. Keep in mind that it is a key factor in extending the business cycle. US Productivity has increased, because US companies have invested,…
Recession Indicator to Watch: Net Domestic Investment to GDP Net Domestic Investment to GDP is in a long-term downtrend since 1950. It is not a timing indicator for predicting the end of business cycles. But historicammy, before recessions, it tends to peak (red arrow) and then decline (black arrow). Currently, Net Domestic Investment to GDP has a…
Why the Fed Can’t Raise Interest Rates Above Inflation Rate, Today? The Federal Reserve can’t raise the Fed funds rate above the inflation rate because the US productivity growth is too weak.Net Domestic Investment to GDP is in a long-term downtrend and reduces productivity.This makes it difficult to see the Fed funds rate exceed the…
This powerful indicator looks into the US stock market and suggests whether it is bullish, bearish or neutral Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the US stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that…
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