Sentiment Scores During Earnings Calls In recent quarters, falling inflation and the prospect of lower interest rates have had a positive impact on U.S. corporate sentiment, which is seen as a favorable sign for the U.S. economy. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Sentiment – U.S. Put Call Ratio Composite A relatively low put/call ratio is often interpreted as a sign of heightened bullish sentiment or greed in the market, which is frequently viewed as a contrarian indicator. Image: The Daily Shot
Sentiment/VIX Composite vs. S&P 500 Current levels of the Sentiment/VIX Composite Index are more indicative of near-term market peaks than the beginning of a bullish trend. Image: Real Investment Advice
AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings The AAII Bearish Sentiment continues to be below its historical average, suggesting that AAII investors hold an optimistic view of the short-term stock market outlook. Image: The Daily Shot
Market Sentiment – Levkovich Index The Levkovich Index, or Panic/Euphoria Model, is currently in a state of “euphoria”, indicating a high level of optimism among investors. Image: Yahoo Finance
AAII Investor Sentiment Bull Minus Bear Spread The AAII investor sentiment bull minus bear spread, which is in the 91th percentile, raises legitimate concerns that the market may be overheating. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment/VIX Composite vs. Fed Funds During a rate hiking campaign, bullish sentiment tends to increase initially, but ultimately ends badly. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Consumer Sentiment and Recession In recent months, U.S. consumer sentiment has improved markedly, mainly due to lower inflation, the positive performance of risk assets and a recovery in real income growth. Image: Deutsche Bank
Conference Board Consumer Confidence, Twitter Sentiment Index, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Despite strong economic performance, U.S. consumer confidence has shown improvements but has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, indicating that the recovery process is not yet complete. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Investor Sentiment – S&P 500 and NAAIM Index Below 40 The NAAIM index dropping below 40 is often interpreted as active investment managers selling equities at market bottoms, signaling a potential short-term market bottom. Image: Real Investment Advice
Sentiment – S&P 500 Performance After CBOE Put/Call Ratio Spikes of > 1.5 As a contrarian indicator, a high put/call ratio can be interpreted as a signal that the market may be nearing a bottom, or that a trend reversal may be imminent. Image: Carson Investment Research