Most Important Variables Explaining the S&P 500’s YoY Return Today, the two most important variables explaining the S&P 500’s YoY return: FOMC rate change and U.S. hard economic data. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Average S&P 500 Index Returns An interesting chart showing the ISM Manufacturing Index and the S&P 500 Index forward 12-month return.Low returns when the ISM Manufacturing Index is above 60 and high returns when the ISM Manufacturing Index is below 40. Image: Jeroen Blokland
6-Month Returns for the S&P 500 Index from 1950 to 2018 The next 6 months have been the worst on average. Here is the 6-Month returns for the S&P 500 Index from 1950 to 2018. Our previous two articles: “Sell in May and Go Away?” and “Sell in May and Go Away? Maybe Not this…
Wars – S&P 500 in Real Terms and U.S. CPI Inflation Will inflation hurt U.S. equity returns? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
S&P 500 Average Negative Sentiment Score YoY vs. Quarterly EPS YoY (Leading Indicator) Could slowing earnings growth lead to lower equity returns? Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 EPS Growth and Price Performance 2021 will be remembered as a year of strong earnings growth and S&P500 returns. Image: Richardson Wealth
S&P 500 Around the Start of Fed Rate Hike Cycle Will the S&P 500 generate positive returns during the Fed’s hiking cycle? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index – History of Stocks vs. Inflation Historically, spikes in inflation do not bode well for U.S. equity returns. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Relative to Historic Valuation Ranges U.S. stock valuations are well above historical ranges. Should investors expect anemic future returns? Image: Real Investment Advice
Is the S&P 500 Cheap? S&P 500 valuations remain elevated and still matter for future returns. Image: Topdown Charts