Equity Positioning and S&P 500 1-Month Forward Returns Equity positioning at -1.2 standard deviations suggests positive S&P 500 1-month forward returns on average. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Elections and S&P 500 Average 3-Month Forward Return from August 1st During Election Years The S&P 500 tends to see worse-than-average performance leading up to U.S. elections. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Return Minus the Total Return of the S&P 500 Heavy on banks, but light on tech. Has Warren Buffett lost his mojo? Image: Financial Times
S&P 500 Median Forward Returns Following 1-Day Return < -5% This chart shows S&P 500 median forward returns following a more than 5% down day. Image: Goldman Sachs Research Division
S&P 500 Subsequent Month Return and Change in 30-Year Real Yield When 30-year real yields rose as much as today, S&P 500 returns the following month were negative 3 times out of 5. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Price Return vs. 2021 EPS Revisions This chart highlights the positive correlation between price return and 2021 earnings revisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation – Consensus FY2 PB and Return on Equity (ROE) This chart suggests that the current valuation of the S&P 500 appears broadly consistent with the correlation between consensus FY2 P/B and return on equity (R² = 0.42). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Sector Return on Equity vs. Price to Book Valuation This chart suggests that sectors trade closely to their return on equity implied valuations (R² = 0.87). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Online Retailers vs. S&P 500 Indexed Price Return Global online retailers saw rise in traffic during the coronavirus pandemic. They have outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index and Total Return to Gold Ratio According to BofA, the gold to equity ratio is elevated given the earnings uncertainty, but it is far from historical highs. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Real Return and Secular Bull Market Analogs Since the Great Recession, U.S. stocks have behaved like a secular bull market. Image: Fidelity Investments