Median Quarterly Excess Return in Stagflationary Periods
Median Quarterly Excess Return in Stagflationary Periods Health care and energy tend to outperform in stagflationary environments. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median Quarterly Excess Return in Stagflationary Periods Health care and energy tend to outperform in stagflationary environments. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Cyclical Value vs. Defensive Value Energy and financials are expected to outperform the S&P 500 as the recovery continues. Image: Topdown Charts
ETF Flows – Equity ETF Net Buy by Sector Investors continue to put their money into the energy sector. Image: BofA Securities
Inflation – TIPS and Equity Sector Fund Flows Strong fund inflows into TIPS, materials, energy and financials. Will the Federal Reserve let the U.S. economy run hot? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 GICs Level 1 Sector Weekly Relative Rotation Graph Technology and discretionary are weakening. Industrials and materials are leading. Financials, utilities, staples, health care and real estate are improving. Energy and communication services are lagging. Image= BofA Global Research
Sensitivity of S&P 500 Sector Excess Returns to 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Financials, industrials, materials and energy sectors outperform most when inflation rises. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
% of S&P 500 Capitalization Currently, the energy sector accounts for only 2.6% of the S&P 500’s capitalization, while tech now accounts for 28%. Image: Financial Times
S&P 500 Sector Performance Since the March 23 Low Since the March 23 low, the best-performing sector has been energy, not tech. Image: Charles Schwab
Breakeven Prices for Existing U.S. Oil Wells Breakeven prices for existing U.S. oil wells highlights that the current WTI oil price is too low for oil companies to make a decent return. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Energy Survey
U.S. Core PCE vs. Fed Target The U.S. core personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy, rises to 1.6% in June. Inflation trending back up toward the Fed’s 2% target is good news. You may also like “U.S. Core Inflation Expected Over the Next 21 Months.”