Search Results for: industrial

U.S. Industrial Production YoY by Segment since 2013 Another excellent chart showing the U.S. industrial production by segment. Image: Pervalle Global

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Since 1896 If you listen to the news, there is always a good reason not to be invested in the stock market. You may also like “The Stock Market Continues to Climb the Wall of Worry.” Image: virtueofselfishinvesting.com   Click the Image to Enlarge  

Commodity Stock Index vs. Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1937 The chart shows that commodity stock prices have never been more depressed relative to the stock market. This Commodity Stock Index aligns with S&P North American Natural Resource Stock Index. Image: Goehring & Rozencwajg

Commercial and Industrial Loans Continue to Accelerate in the U.S. That’s a positive sign for the U.S. economy. Indeed, U.S. banks wouldn’t be lending if they were concerned about the economic situation. Past three recessions saw bank loans negative year over year.

Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities The probability of U.S. recession stands at 0.26%. When this recession indicator exceeds 5% (red line), history suggests that the probability of recession increases significantly. The chart shows the smoothed U.S. recession probabilities indicator on a log scale. Smoothed U.S. recession probabilities are obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to…

Tariffs and U.S. Government Revenues Tariffs played a crucial role in the early industrialization of the United States, but their effectiveness in today’s global economy are potentially detrimental as they act as an economic drag, hurting more industries than they help. Image: Deutsche Bank

Tariffs in United States History While tariffs were crucial to the early industrialization of the United States, their relevance in today’s global economy is questionable—much like trying to use a rotary phone in a world dominated by smartphones: confusing and outdated. Image: Deutsche Bank

Loan Demand Demand for commercial & industrial (C&I) and commercial real estate (CRE) loans remains weak, which does not bode well for a soft landing. Image: BofA Global Research

Manufacturing PMIs Manufacturing PMIs suggest that the industrial sector may continue to weaken ahead. Image: BofA Global Research

Performance – Sector Sensitivity to U.S. and Global GDP Growth The financial and industrial sectors are the most correlated with global growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Sensitivity of S&P 500 Sector Excess Returns to 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Financials, industrials, materials and energy sectors outperform most when inflation rises. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research